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Bayeux - Marseille: our prediction

13/01/2026•21:00

Bayeux

0:9

(0:4)

Finished

Marseille

Bayeux vs Marseille Preview — Coupe de France

In the round of 16 of the Coupe de France, the heavy favourite of the match, Olympique de Marseille, travels to face the modest club of Bayeux (National 3). A one-sided match is expected, with a Ligue 1 team up against an amateur side. Recent statistics confirm the immense gap between the two teams.

Our Bayeux vs Marseille predictions

Marseille Victory

Marseille, the heavy logical favourite (odds at 1.03), has a 60% win rate in its last 10 matches. Against Bayeux, a National 3 team, the gap in level is enormous. Statistics show Marseille has won 5 of its last 7 matches when favourite. No information on major absences contradicts this scenario.

1.02

Confidence

Very high

Marseille scores at least 1 goal

Marseille has scored at least 1 goal in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Its attack is consistently dangerous. Bayeux has kept a clean sheet only twice in its last 5 matches (40%). The gap in level and Marseille's offensive power make this scenario extremely likely, if not almost certain.

1.01

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

In its last 10 matches, Marseille has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10). Its attack, with Greenwood (8 goals), Paixao and Aubameyang, is prolific. Bayeux, defensively in its last 5 matches, has conceded 2 or more goals on 3 occasions. The low odds for a Marseille win and its offensive potential suggest a match with over 2 goals.

1.08

Confidence

High

Market signals on Bayeux vs Marseille

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Bayeux vs Marseille Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Bayeux	Marseille
Win	4 1	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	0%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	0%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	33%
Win by being an outsider	100%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	50% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 20%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 40%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	30%
2nd half	20%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		33% (3/9)	Amine Gouiri
		22% (2/9)	Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
		22% (2/9)	Mason Greenwood
		20% (2/10)	Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg
		11% (1/9)	Igor Paixao
		14% (1/7)	Hamed Traore
		10% (1/10)	Ethan Nwaneri

Total goals per player

	1	2
Quentin Mayette	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Amine Gouiri
Maxime Renaux	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Mason Greenwood
		⚽⚽2	Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg
		⚽⚽2	Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
		⚽1	Ethan Nwaneri
		⚽1	Hamed Traore
		⚽1	Igor Paixao

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	90%
Over corners 7.5	0%	80%
Over corners 8.5	0%	70%
Over corners 9.5	0%	50%
Over corners 10.5	0%	30%
Over corners 11.5	0%	30%
Over corners 12.5	0%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	90%
Over corners 3.5	0%	70%
Over corners 4.5	0%	70%
Over corners 5.5	0%	60%
Over corners 6.5	0%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	20%
1.5	0%	10%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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