Bayeux - Marseille: our prediction
13/01/2026•21:00
Bayeux
0:9
(0:4)
Finished
Marseille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Bayeux vs Marseille Preview — Coupe de France
In the round of 16 of the Coupe de France, the heavy favourite of the match, Olympique de Marseille, travels to face the modest club of Bayeux (National 3). A one-sided match is expected, with a Ligue 1 team up against an amateur side. Recent statistics confirm the immense gap between the two teams.
Our Bayeux vs Marseille predictions
Marseille Victory
Marseille, the heavy logical favourite (odds at 1.03), has a 60% win rate in its last 10 matches. Against Bayeux, a National 3 team, the gap in level is enormous. Statistics show Marseille has won 5 of its last 7 matches when favourite. No information on major absences contradicts this scenario.
1.02
Confidence
Very high
Marseille scores at least 1 goal
Marseille has scored at least 1 goal in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Its attack is consistently dangerous. Bayeux has kept a clean sheet only twice in its last 5 matches (40%). The gap in level and Marseille's offensive power make this scenario extremely likely, if not almost certain.
1.01
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
In its last 10 matches, Marseille has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10). Its attack, with Greenwood (8 goals), Paixao and Aubameyang, is prolific. Bayeux, defensively in its last 5 matches, has conceded 2 or more goals on 3 occasions. The low odds for a Marseille win and its offensive potential suggest a match with over 2 goals.
1.08
Confidence
High
Market signals on Bayeux vs Marseille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Bayeux vs Marseille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 40% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
33% (3/9) | Amine Gouiri | ||
22% (2/9) | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ||
22% (2/9) | Mason Greenwood | ||
20% (2/10) | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | ||
11% (1/9) | Igor Paixao | ||
14% (1/7) | Hamed Traore | ||
10% (1/10) | Ethan Nwaneri |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Mayette | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Amine Gouiri |
| Maxime Renaux | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Mason Greenwood |
⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | ||
⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ||
⚽1 | Ethan Nwaneri | ||
⚽1 | Hamed Traore | ||
⚽1 | Igor Paixao |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 20% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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