New Mexico United - Tampa Bay Rowdies: our prediction

This bet is consistent with the previous two (Tampa Bay win and both teams to score). New Mexico United has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches (8/10), showing a propensity for high-scoring games. Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 40% rate (4/10) for this statistic, but combining New Mexico's defensive weakness (90% of matches conceded) with Tampa Bay's offensive capability (100% of matches scored), the total goals should exceed 2.5. Both teams to score and Tampa Bay's win suggest a scoreline like 1-2, which validates this bet.

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede. New Mexico United has seen both teams score in 50% of their last 10 matches (5/10), and has kept a clean sheet only once. Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 'Both teams to score' rate of 60% (6/10) in their last 10 matches. Furthermore, New Mexico United has conceded in 90% of their matches (9/10). With a Tampa Bay attack that has scored in 100% of their matches (10/10 for over 0.5 goals), it is highly likely that both teams will find the back of the net.

Tampa Bay Rowdies are the logical favorites with odds of 2.01. In their last 10 matches, they have won 6 (60% success rate) and have not lost any. New Mexico United, at home, have only won 4 of their last 10 matches (40%) and have lost 5 times. The 'Does not lose as favorite' statistics show that Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 100% success rate (8/8) when favored, while New Mexico United underperform as favorites (3/5). The form and solidity of the Rowdies, combined with New Mexico's inconsistency, point to an away win.