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Arsenal - Manchester City: our prediction

22/03/2026•17:30

Arsenal

0:2

(0:0)

Finished

Manchester City

Arsenal vs Manchester City Preview — EFL Cup

Arsenal hosts Manchester City in the EFL Cup. Arsenal is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.3. In their last 10 matches, Arsenal has won 7, drawn 3, and lost 0, achieving a 70% success rate. Manchester City, away from home, has won 1 of its last 10 away matches. The 'Both teams to score' bet has occurred 6 times out of 10 for each team. The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred 5 times out of 10 for Arsenal and 7 times out of 10 for Manchester City.

Our Arsenal vs Manchester City predictions

Arsenal Victory

Arsenal, at home, shows solid form with 7 wins and 3 draws in their last 10 matches, undefeated. The team is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 2.3). Manchester City, away, has a modest away performance with only 1 win in their last 10 away matches. Arsenal's defense (4 clean sheets in 10) appears more reliable than City's (3 clean sheets in 10). No information on major absences was found in the provided data.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has a frequency of 5/10 for Arsenal and 7/10 for Manchester City in their respective last 10 matches. This suggests that City's matches tend to be more prolific in goals. Combined with the 'Both teams to score' trend, a total of 3 goals or more is conceivable. Arsenal has a capable attack (7 wins) and City shows defensive weaknesses away. The scenario of an Arsenal victory (e.g., 2-1) corresponds to both 'Arsenal Victory', 'Both teams to score', and 'Over 2.5 goals', making these bets consistent.

1.75

Confidence

Medium

Both teams to score

Historical statistics show that the 'Both teams to score' bet has occurred 6 times out of 10 for Arsenal and 6 times out of 10 for Manchester City. This indicates a regular tendency for both teams to score and concede. Arsenal has scored at least one goal in all of its last 10 matches (over 0.5 per team: 10/10). Manchester City has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (over 0.5 per team: 9/10). The defenses are not impenetrable (Arsenal: 4 clean sheets; City: 3 clean sheets). A scenario with goals from both sides is plausible.

1.61

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Arsenal vs Manchester City

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arsenal vs Manchester City Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arsenal	Manchester City
Win	7 3	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	70%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	100%
Win by being an outsider	0%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	60% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	60%
2nd half	60%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	30% (3/10)	56% (5/9)	Erling Haaland
Bukayo Saka	22% (2/9)	40% (4/10)	Jeremy Doku
Kai Havertz	25% (2/8)	33% (3/9)	Antoine Semenyo
Noni Madueke	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Omar Marmoush
Eberechi Eze	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Marc Guehi
Leandro Trossard	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Nico Gonzalez
Gabriel Jesus	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Rayan Cherki
		10% (1/10)	Savinho
		13% (1/8)	Nico O'Reilly

Total goals per player

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Jeremy Doku
Kai Havertz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Erling Haaland
Bukayo Saka	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Antoine Semenyo
Eberechi Eze	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Omar Marmoush
Leandro Trossard	⚽1	⚽1	Rayan Cherki
Gabriel Jesus	⚽1	⚽1	Savinho
Noni Madueke	⚽1	⚽1	Marc Guehi
		⚽1	Nico Gonzalez
		⚽1	Nico O'Reilly

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	70%
Over corners 7.5	90%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	50%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	90%	70%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	50%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	40%	70%
2.5	10%	30%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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