San Telmo vs Quilmes — Prediction
Match Preview
San Telmo hosts Quilmes in the Primera Nacional. San Telmo is slightly favored by bookmakers despite mixed form (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses in the last 10). Quilmes, struggling away from home, has difficulty scoring. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: San Telmo had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 matches (50%), while Quilmes recorded this scenario in 9/10 matches (90%). Quilmes scores very little away from home (1 goal in 10 matches for 'Both teams to score') and San Telmo kept no clean sheets. However, the overall trend is low-scoring. The odds also indicate a high probability for this bet.
1.31
Confidence
High
Quilmes - Under 0.5 goals
Quilmes' attack is very weak, especially away. In the last 10 matches, Quilmes failed to score (under 0.5 goals) in 8 encounters (80%). Their only notable scorer in this period scored 1 goal. Facing a San Telmo defense that is not excellent but plays at home, it is likely that Quilmes will not find the back of the net. This bet is consistent with the low-scoring and draw predictions.
1.9
Confidence
High
Draw
San Telmo drew in 2/10 of its last matches (20%), while Quilmes has a strong draw tendency with 4/10 (40%). Quilmes is weak away but has a relatively solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10). San Telmo, a slight favorite, has an ineffective attack (3 wins in 10). The combination of an unconvincing home team and a defensive, calculating visitor makes a draw plausible. The odds of 2.88 offer good value.
2.62
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 3 2 5 | 1 4 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 10% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Gonzalez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Federico Perez |
| Sebastian Cocimano | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Agustin Lavezzi |
| Franco Tisera | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ramiro Martinez |
| Leandro Ojeda | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alexis Dominguez |
| Martin Batallini | ⚽1 | ||
| Gabriel Paredes | ⚽1 | ||
| Juan Motroni | ⚽1 | ||
| Joaquin Enrico | ⚽1 | ||
| Emanuel Diaz | ⚽1 | ||
| Nicolas Morro | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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