Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Merlo — Prediction
Match Preview
Sportivo Italiano hosts Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to the home team (odds at 2.05). In their last 10 matches, Sportivo Italiano has won 5 times, drawn 3 times, and lost 2 times (50% success rate). Deportivo Merlo, away from home, has won 2 times in their last 10 away matches. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a moderate number of goals.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics of both teams over the last 10 matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. Sportivo Italiano has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Deportivo Merlo presents exactly the same statistic (6/10). Furthermore, both teams have marked offensive difficulties: Sportivo Italiano scores more than 1.5 goals per team in only 30% of cases, and Deportivo Merlo in 20% of cases. The defenses are relatively solid (clean sheet in 40% of matches for Sportivo Italiano at home). A tight match with few goals is likely.
1.4
Confidence
High
Sportivo Italiano to Win
Sportivo Italiano plays at home and is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 2.05). In the last 10 matches, they have a solid record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses (50% success rate). They also have a good tendency not to lose when favored (7 matches without defeat out of 10). Deportivo Merlo, away from home, has a low performance (only 2 wins in the last 10 away matches). The home advantage and the more regular form of the local team support this bet.
2.05
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 17% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 17% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 20% |
2nd half | 70% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gimenez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Diego Aguirre |
| Maximo Guzman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Juan Da Rosa |
| Cristian Ordonez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Cuenca |
| Marcos Landaburu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Facundo Aguerre |
| Emiliano Mozzone | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | David Maguicha |
| Facundo Gomez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nadir Zeineddin |
⚽1 | Rodrigo Cao | ||
⚽1 | Lucas Vallejo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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