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Burgos CF - Valencia: our prediction

15/01/2026•21:00

Burgos CF

0:2

(0:1)

Finished

Valencia

Burgos CF vs Valencia Preview — Copa del Rey

In the Copa del Rey, Burgos CF (Segunda División) hosts Valencia (LaLiga). Valencia is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.95), but their recent form is patchy with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Burgos, at home, is solid with 4 wins out of 10. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals, as both teams have a strong tendency for matches under 2.5 goals.

Our Burgos CF vs Valencia predictions

Valencia scores under 1.5 goals

Valencia has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Valencia's attack is struggling, with only one match where they scored more than one goal. Against a Burgos defense that kept a clean sheet 3 times out of 10, Valencia is likely to score at most one goal.

1.4

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Burgos CF recorded under 2.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10), and Valencia in 80% of cases (8/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks and solid defenses, especially Burgos at home. The match is likely to be tactical with few chances.

1.47

Confidence

High

Valencia to win

Valencia is the logical favorite despite patchy recent form (2 wins/10). Burgos at home is solid but plays in a lower division. In the Copa del Rey, top division teams often have the technical advantage. The odds of 1.95 reflect this presumed superiority. A realistic scenario is a narrow 1-0 win.

2.01

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Burgos CF vs Valencia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Burgos CF vs Valencia Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Burgos CF	Valencia
Win	4 2 4	2 6 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	60%	33%
Win by being a favorite	50%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	60%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	0%
Win by being an outsider	25%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	80% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	0%
2nd half	30%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
David Gonzalez	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Umar Sadiq
Curro Sanchez	22% (2/9)	30% (3/10)	Guido Rodriguez
Fer Nino	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Hugo Duro
Alex Lizancos	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Javier Guerra
Mario Gonzalez	14% (1/7)	20% (2/10)	Largie Ramazani
Kevin Appin	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Diego Lopez
		10% (1/10)	Luis Rioja

Total goals per player

	1	2
David Gonzalez	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Guido Rodriguez
Curro Sanchez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Javier Guerra
Fer Nino	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Umar Sadiq
Alex Lizancos	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Largie Ramazani
Kevin Appin	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Hugo Duro
Mario Gonzalez	⚽1	⚽1	Diego Lopez
		⚽1	Luis Rioja

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	50%
Over corners 10.5	60%	50%
Over corners 11.5	40%	50%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	60%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	60%
Over corners 6.5	10%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	20%
1.5	0%	20%
2.5	0%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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