Burgos CF - Valencia: our prediction
15/01/2026•21:00
Burgos CF
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
Valencia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Burgos CF vs Valencia Preview — Copa del Rey
In the Copa del Rey, Burgos CF (Segunda División) hosts Valencia (LaLiga). Valencia is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.95), but their recent form is patchy with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Burgos, at home, is solid with 4 wins out of 10. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals, as both teams have a strong tendency for matches under 2.5 goals.
Our Burgos CF vs Valencia predictions
Valencia scores under 1.5 goals
Valencia has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Valencia's attack is struggling, with only one match where they scored more than one goal. Against a Burgos defense that kept a clean sheet 3 times out of 10, Valencia is likely to score at most one goal.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Burgos CF recorded under 2.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10), and Valencia in 80% of cases (8/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks and solid defenses, especially Burgos at home. The match is likely to be tactical with few chances.
1.47
Confidence
High
Valencia to win
Valencia is the logical favorite despite patchy recent form (2 wins/10). Burgos at home is solid but plays in a lower division. In the Copa del Rey, top division teams often have the technical advantage. The odds of 1.95 reflect this presumed superiority. A realistic scenario is a narrow 1-0 win.
2.01
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Burgos CF vs Valencia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Burgos CF vs Valencia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 2 6 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 80% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 0% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| David Gonzalez | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Umar Sadiq |
| Curro Sanchez | 22% (2/9) | 30% (3/10) | Guido Rodriguez |
| Fer Nino | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Hugo Duro |
| Alex Lizancos | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Javier Guerra |
| Mario Gonzalez | 14% (1/7) | 20% (2/10) | Largie Ramazani |
| Kevin Appin | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Diego Lopez |
10% (1/10) | Luis Rioja |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| David Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Guido Rodriguez |
| Curro Sanchez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Javier Guerra |
| Fer Nino | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Umar Sadiq |
| Alex Lizancos | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Largie Ramazani |
| Kevin Appin | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Hugo Duro |
| Mario Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Diego Lopez |
⚽1 | Luis Rioja |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 20% |
1.5 | 0% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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