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Port Vale - Bristol City: our prediction

03/03/2026•20:45

Port Vale

1:0

(0:0)

Finished AET

ap. 0 - 0

Bristol City

Port Vale vs Bristol City Preview — FA Cup

Port Vale, struggling in League One, hosts Bristol City, a Championship side, in the FA Cup. The visitors are clear favourites (odds at 1.87) and show more solid form (4 wins in 10 games compared to 2 for Port Vale). Recent statistics suggest a match with goals (Over 2.5 at 50% for Port Vale, 60% for Bristol City) and a moderate probability of both teams scoring.

Our Port Vale vs Bristol City predictions

Bristol City Win

Bristol City, a Championship side, is clearly superior to Port Vale from League One. The last 10 match statistics show more solid form (4W, 2D, 4L, 40% success rate) against weak form from Port Vale (2W, 2D, 6L, 20% success rate). Bristol City has won 2 of its last 6 matches as favourite. No major absences reported. The difference in division and quality should translate into a win for the visitors.

1.78

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals in the match

The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams support this scenario. In the last 10 matches, Port Vale saw Over 2.5 goals in 50% of cases (5/10) and Bristol City in 60% of cases (6/10). Port Vale conceded many goals (6 defeats in 10) and Bristol City has a capable attack (8 matches Over 1.5 goals in 10). The FA Cup can encourage open play. No information on key defensive injuries contradicts this trend.

1.87

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Port Vale vs Bristol City

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Port Vale vs Bristol City Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Port Vale	Bristol City
Win	2 3 5	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	33%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	20%
Win by being a favorite	0%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	57%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	29%	50%
Win by being an outsider	29%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	50%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ryan Croasdale	22% (2/9)	30% (3/10)	Sam Bell
Martin Sherif	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Delano Burgzorg
Ethon Archer	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Scott Twine
Jordan Gabriel	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Mark Sykes
Connor Hall	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Tomi Horvat
		10% (1/10)	Noah Eile
		10% (1/10)	Sam Morsy
		13% (1/8)	Adam Randell

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ethon Archer	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Sam Bell
Ryan Croasdale	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Adam Randell
Jordan Gabriel	⚽1	⚽1	Mark Sykes
Martin Sherif	⚽1	⚽1	Noah Eile
Connor Hall	⚽1	⚽1	Sam Morsy
		⚽1	Delano Burgzorg
		⚽1	Scott Twine
		⚽1	Tomi Horvat

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	60%
Over corners 7.5	60%	60%
Over corners 8.5	60%	50%
Over corners 9.5	60%	40%
Over corners 10.5	60%	30%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	80%
Over corners 3.5	60%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	30%
Over corners 5.5	50%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	80%
1.5	60%	60%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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