Port Vale - Bristol City: our prediction
03/03/2026•20:45
Port Vale
1:0
(0:0)
Finished AET
ap. 0 - 0
Bristol City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Port Vale vs Bristol City Preview — FA Cup
Port Vale, struggling in League One, hosts Bristol City, a Championship side, in the FA Cup. The visitors are clear favourites (odds at 1.87) and show more solid form (4 wins in 10 games compared to 2 for Port Vale). Recent statistics suggest a match with goals (Over 2.5 at 50% for Port Vale, 60% for Bristol City) and a moderate probability of both teams scoring.
Our Port Vale vs Bristol City predictions
Bristol City Win
Bristol City, a Championship side, is clearly superior to Port Vale from League One. The last 10 match statistics show more solid form (4W, 2D, 4L, 40% success rate) against weak form from Port Vale (2W, 2D, 6L, 20% success rate). Bristol City has won 2 of its last 6 matches as favourite. No major absences reported. The difference in division and quality should translate into a win for the visitors.
1.78
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams support this scenario. In the last 10 matches, Port Vale saw Over 2.5 goals in 50% of cases (5/10) and Bristol City in 60% of cases (6/10). Port Vale conceded many goals (6 defeats in 10) and Bristol City has a capable attack (8 matches Over 1.5 goals in 10). The FA Cup can encourage open play. No information on key defensive injuries contradicts this trend.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Port Vale vs Bristol City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Port Vale vs Bristol City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 33% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Croasdale | 22% (2/9) | 30% (3/10) | Sam Bell |
| Martin Sherif | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Delano Burgzorg |
| Ethon Archer | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Scott Twine |
| Jordan Gabriel | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Mark Sykes |
| Connor Hall | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Tomi Horvat |
10% (1/10) | Noah Eile | ||
10% (1/10) | Sam Morsy | ||
13% (1/8) | Adam Randell |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethon Archer | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sam Bell |
| Ryan Croasdale | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Adam Randell |
| Jordan Gabriel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mark Sykes |
| Martin Sherif | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Noah Eile |
| Connor Hall | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sam Morsy |
⚽1 | Delano Burgzorg | ||
⚽1 | Scott Twine | ||
⚽1 | Tomi Horvat |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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