Rugby

Tennis

Independiente - Sportivo Atenas: our prediction

27/03/2026•21:00

Independiente

4:2

(3:0)

Finished

Sportivo Atenas

Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas Preview — Cup

Independiente, the home favorite with odds of 1.21, faces Sportivo Atenas, the outsider at 12.5. Independiente has a more productive attack (70% of matches with BTS) but a less solid defense (30% clean sheets). Atenas, less effective away (1 win in 10 matches), has a weak attack (20% BTS) but a more organized defense (60% clean sheets). The match could be tight despite the difference in level.

Our Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet: Independiente had under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches, and Atenas in 70% of theirs. Atenas has a very weak attack (only 20% of matches with BTS, 30% success rate for Over 1.5 goals per match). Independiente, although more offensive, might settle for a narrow result to win. The probability of a low-scoring match is high.

2.08

Confidence

High

Independiente Win

Independiente is clearly the favorite (odds 1.21) and plays at home. Despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 matches), they face a very weak away Sportivo Atenas (only 1 win in 10 matches). Independiente's attack is capable of scoring (70% of matches with BTS), while Atenas' defense, although solid (60% clean sheets), could crack under constant pressure. No information on major absences was found.

1.21

Confidence

High

Market signals on Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Independiente	Sportivo Atenas
Win	3 4 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	20%	60%
Win by being a favorite	29%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	25%
Win by being an outsider	33%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	20% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	100%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	10%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Gabriel Avalos	44% (4/9)
Matias Abaldo	38% (3/8)
Maximiliano Gutierrez	33% (3/9)
Facundo Valdez	11% (1/9)
Lautaro Millan	11% (1/9)
Santiago Gabriel Montiel	14% (1/7)
Ignacio Pussetto	25% (1/4)
Luciano Cabral	11% (1/9)
Felipe Tempone	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Gabriel Avalos	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Alejo Mainero
Maximiliano Gutierrez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Facundo Quiroga
Matias Abaldo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Marcos Rivadero
Luciano Cabral	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Ignacio Barrera
Lautaro Millan	⚽1	⚽1	Agustin Galeazzi
Ignacio Pussetto	⚽1	⚽1	Paulo Oballes
Santiago Gabriel Montiel	⚽1	⚽1	Rafael Antonio Rios
Felipe Tempone	⚽1
Facundo Valdez	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	0%
Over corners 7.5	90%	0%
Over corners 8.5	80%	0%
Over corners 9.5	50%	0%
Over corners 10.5	40%	0%
Over corners 11.5	20%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	0%
Over corners 3.5	70%	0%
Over corners 4.5	60%	0%
Over corners 5.5	60%	0%
Over corners 6.5	50%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	0%
1.5	60%	0%
2.5	50%	0%
3.5	40%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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