Independiente - Sportivo Atenas: our prediction
27/03/2026•21:00
Independiente
4:2
(3:0)
Finished
Sportivo Atenas
-
1
-
X
-
2
Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas Preview — Cup
Independiente, the home favorite with odds of 1.21, faces Sportivo Atenas, the outsider at 12.5. Independiente has a more productive attack (70% of matches with BTS) but a less solid defense (30% clean sheets). Atenas, less effective away (1 win in 10 matches), has a weak attack (20% BTS) but a more organized defense (60% clean sheets). The match could be tight despite the difference in level.
Our Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet: Independiente had under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches, and Atenas in 70% of theirs. Atenas has a very weak attack (only 20% of matches with BTS, 30% success rate for Over 1.5 goals per match). Independiente, although more offensive, might settle for a narrow result to win. The probability of a low-scoring match is high.
2.08
Confidence
High
Independiente Win
Independiente is clearly the favorite (odds 1.21) and plays at home. Despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 matches), they face a very weak away Sportivo Atenas (only 1 win in 10 matches). Independiente's attack is capable of scoring (70% of matches with BTS), while Atenas' defense, although solid (60% clean sheets), could crack under constant pressure. No information on major absences was found.
1.21
Confidence
High
Market signals on Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Independiente vs Sportivo Atenas Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 20% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 29% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 20% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Avalos | 44% (4/9) | ||
| Matias Abaldo | 38% (3/8) | ||
| Maximiliano Gutierrez | 33% (3/9) | ||
| Facundo Valdez | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Lautaro Millan | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Ignacio Pussetto | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Luciano Cabral | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Felipe Tempone | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Avalos | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Alejo Mainero |
| Maximiliano Gutierrez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Facundo Quiroga |
| Matias Abaldo | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Marcos Rivadero |
| Luciano Cabral | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Ignacio Barrera |
| Lautaro Millan | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Agustin Galeazzi |
| Ignacio Pussetto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Paulo Oballes |
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rafael Antonio Rios |
| Felipe Tempone | ⚽1 | ||
| Facundo Valdez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 0% |
1.5 | 60% | 0% |
2.5 | 50% | 0% |
3.5 | 40% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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