Newell S Old Boys vs Acassuso — Prediction
Match Preview
Newell's Old Boys, the home favorite, faces Acassuso in the Cup. Despite disappointing recent form (1 win in 10 matches), bookmakers give them a low odds of 1.62. Acassuso, away, has a more solid form (5 wins in 10) but is the underdog. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches for both teams converge towards a low-scoring scenario. Newell's has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10). Acassuso also has a 70% rate for Under 2.5 (7/10). Furthermore, 'Both Teams to Score' is successful only 40% of the time for Newell's and 30% for Acassuso. Acassuso's defense is solid (5 clean sheets in 10). The probability of a tight match with few goals is high.
1.6
Confidence
High
Newell's Old Boys Win
Newell's is the clear bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.62) and plays at home. Although their recent form is poor (1W, 3D, 6L in 10), their low odds reflect their status as a higher-division team. Acassuso, although more performant recently (5W in 10), is a pronounced underdog (odds 5.5). In similar contexts (favorite with odds >1.81), Newell's has lost only once in 2 attempts. The value and logic of the home favorite prevail.
1.63
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 3 6 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 71% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Coccaro | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Walter Mazzantti | 33% (1/3) | ||
| Oscar Salomon | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Facundo Samuel Guch | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Michael Hoyos | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Ignacio Ramirez | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Salomon | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | David Escalante |
| Facundo Samuel Guch | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ramiro Reynoso |
| Matias Coccaro | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lazaro Romero |
| Walter Mazzantti | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jonathan Raccio |
| Michael Hoyos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Felipe Senn |
| Ignacio Ramirez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Agustin Hermoso |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 0% |
1.5 | 90% | 0% |
2.5 | 40% | 0% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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