Rugby

Tennis

Nacional - Libertad: our prediction

24/05/2026•22:00

Nacional

2:1

(2:1)

Finished

Libertad

Nacional vs Libertad Preview — Division Profesional - Apertura

Nacional hosts Libertad in the Division Profesional - Apertura. Nacional is the favorite with odds of 2.1. In their last 10 matches, Nacional has 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss. Libertad has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, but also to concede goals.

Our Nacional vs Libertad predictions

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Nacional has exceeded 1.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10), and Libertad also in 70% (7/10). Combined with the tendency of both teams to score, it is very likely that the match will total at least 2 goals.

1.36

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Both teams to score

Statistics show that Nacional has seen both teams score in 60% of its matches (6/10), while Libertad is at 50% (5/10). Both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet (Nacional 70% of the time, Libertad 80%). The match promises to be open.

1.85

Confidence

High (65 %)

Draw

Nacional has drawn in 50% of its last 10 matches (5/10), while Libertad has a draw rate of 20% (2/10). However, Nacional's tendency to share points, coupled with Libertad's difficulty away from home, makes this result plausible.

3.05

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Nacional vs Libertad

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nacional vs Libertad Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Nacional	Libertad
Win	4 5 1	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	50%
Win by being a favorite	43%	25%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	40%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	40%
Win by being an outsider	33%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	40%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		100% (4/4)	Lorenzo Melgarejo
		50% (2/4)	Alexis Fretes
		25% (1/4)	Rodrigo Villalba
		33% (1/3)	Gustavo Aguilar
		25% (1/4)	Jorge Recalde
		50% (1/2)	Matias Espinoza
		25% (1/4)	Federico Carrizo
		25% (1/4)	Amin Molinas

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ignacio Bailone	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Lorenzo Melgarejo
Hugo Benitez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Alexis Fretes
Roque Santa Cruz	⚽1	⚽1	Jorge Recalde
Mauricio Cabrera	⚽1	⚽1	Gustavo Aguilar
Ivan Valdez	⚽1	⚽1	Rodrigo Villalba
Josue Colman	⚽1	⚽1	Federico Carrizo
Juan Santacruz	⚽1	⚽1	Amin Molinas
Orlando Gaona Lugo	⚽1	⚽1	Matias Espinoza
Lucas Gonzalez	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	57%
Over corners 7.5	0%	57%
Over corners 8.5	0%	43%
Over corners 9.5	0%	29%
Over corners 10.5	0%	29%
Over corners 11.5	0%	14%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	30%
Over corners 3.5	0%	30%
Over corners 4.5	0%	10%
Over corners 5.5	0%	10%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	40%
1.5	0%	30%
2.5	0%	20%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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