Nacional - Libertad: our prediction
24/05/2026•22:00
Nacional
2:1
(2:1)
Finished
Libertad
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Libertad Preview — Division Profesional - Apertura
Nacional hosts Libertad in the Division Profesional - Apertura. Nacional is the favorite with odds of 2.1. In their last 10 matches, Nacional has 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss. Libertad has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, but also to concede goals.
Our Nacional vs Libertad predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Nacional has exceeded 1.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10), and Libertad also in 70% (7/10). Combined with the tendency of both teams to score, it is very likely that the match will total at least 2 goals.
1.36
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Both teams to score
Statistics show that Nacional has seen both teams score in 60% of its matches (6/10), while Libertad is at 50% (5/10). Both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet (Nacional 70% of the time, Libertad 80%). The match promises to be open.
1.85
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Nacional has drawn in 50% of its last 10 matches (5/10), while Libertad has a draw rate of 20% (2/10). However, Nacional's tendency to share points, coupled with Libertad's difficulty away from home, makes this result plausible.
3.05
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Nacional vs Libertad
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Libertad Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 5 1 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (4/4) | Lorenzo Melgarejo | ||
50% (2/4) | Alexis Fretes | ||
25% (1/4) | Rodrigo Villalba | ||
33% (1/3) | Gustavo Aguilar | ||
25% (1/4) | Jorge Recalde | ||
50% (1/2) | Matias Espinoza | ||
25% (1/4) | Federico Carrizo | ||
25% (1/4) | Amin Molinas |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bailone | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Lorenzo Melgarejo |
| Hugo Benitez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alexis Fretes |
| Roque Santa Cruz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge Recalde |
| Mauricio Cabrera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gustavo Aguilar |
| Ivan Valdez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Villalba |
| Josue Colman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Carrizo |
| Juan Santacruz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Amin Molinas |
| Orlando Gaona Lugo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matias Espinoza |
| Lucas Gonzalez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 57% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 57% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 43% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 29% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 29% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 14% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 40% |
1.5 | 0% | 30% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers