Millonarios - Tolima: our prediction
24/04/2026•03:00
Millonarios
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Tolima
-
1
-
X
-
2
Millonarios vs Tolima Preview — Primera A Apertura
Millonarios hosts Tolima in the Primera A Apertura. Millonarios is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.9. In their last 10 matches, Millonarios has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while Tolima shows an identical record in wins (4) but with fewer losses (2) and more draws (4). Recent statistics show that both teams score regularly, but defenses can be leaky. No information on major absences was found.
Our Millonarios vs Tolima predictions
1.5 (More goals per match)
This indicator is very solid. Millonarios has validated the Over 1.5 goals per match in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Tolima has also validated this bet in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Both teams have attacks that produce regularly and defenses that concede. The probability of seeing at least 2 goals in this match is extremely high, supported by consistent recent statistics from both sides.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 5 cases for Millonarios (50%), and in 6 cases for Tolima (60%). The attacks are active: Millonarios has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (Over 1.5 goals per match), Tolima in 8 as well. Defenses are less reliable: Millonarios has kept a clean sheet only 3 times, Tolima 3 times. With in-form scorers like Rodrigo Contreras (3 goals) for Millonarios and Luis Sandoval (6 goals) for Tolima, an exchange of goals is likely.
1.89
Confidence
High
2.5 (Fewer goals per match)
Although both teams score, matches with over 2.5 goals are not the majority. Millonarios has seen Under 2.5 in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Tolima has seen it in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). The goals per team statistics (parou) show that scoring more than 1.5 goals is rare (40% for Millonarios, 50% for Tolima). A scenario with 1 or 2 total goals (e.g., 1-1, 1-0, 0-1) is plausible, compatible with the 'Both teams to score' bet if the score is 1-1.
1.68
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Millonarios vs Tolima
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Millonarios vs Tolima Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Contreras | 75% (3/4) | 100% (3/3) | Luis Sandoval |
| Leonardo Castro | 50% (2/4) | 75% (3/4) | Jersson Gonzalez |
| Beckham Castro | 50% (1/2) | 25% (1/4) | Jherson Mosquera |
| David Silva | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Adrian Parra |
| Jorge Hurtado | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Ever Valencia |
25% (1/4) | Juan Pablo Torres | ||
25% (1/4) | Sebastian Guzman |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Contreras | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jersson Gonzalez |
| Leonardo Castro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luis Sandoval |
| Jorge Hurtado | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Guzman |
| Beckham Castro | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adrian Parra |
| David Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ever Valencia |
⚽1 | Juan Pablo Torres | ||
⚽1 | Jherson Mosquera |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 10% |
1.5 | 20% | 10% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Atletico Nacional | 71%(17/24) |
| 2 |  | Junior FC | 54%(13/24) |
| 3 |  | America de Cali | 48%(10/21) |
| 4 | | Tolima | 43%(10/23) |
| 5 |  | Deportivo Pasto | 48%(10/21) |
| 6 |  | Santa Fe | 35%(8/23) |
| 7 |  | Once Caldas | 38%(8/21) |
| 8 |  | Internacional de Bogota | 33%(7/21) |
| 9 |  | Deportivo Cali | 37%(7/19) |
| 10 |  | Independiente Medellin | 37%(7/19) |
| 11 | | Millonarios | 37%(7/19) |
| 12 |  | Aguilas Doradas | 32%(6/19) |
| 13 |  | Chico FC | 26%(5/19) |
| 14 |  | CD Jaguares | 26%(5/19) |
| 15 |  | Fortaleza FC | 26%(5/19) |
| 16 |  | Bucaramanga | 26%(5/19) |
| 17 |  | Llaneros FC | 21%(4/19) |
| 18 |  | Alianza FC | 16%(3/19) |
| 19 |  | Cucuta | 16%(3/19) |
| 20 |  | Deportivo Pereira | 5%(1/19) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera A Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera A Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera A Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Colombia. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera A Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
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- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
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