Alianza FC - Independiente Medellin: our prediction
19/04/2026•23:10
Alianza FC
0:1
(0:1)
Finished
Independiente Medellin
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1
-
X
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2
Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellin Preview — Primera A Apertura
Alianza FC hosts Independiente Medellin in the Primera A Apertura. Medellin is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.25, while Alianza is at 3.11. In their last 10 matches, Medellin shows a better attack (4 wins, 9 matches with goals scored) but a less solid defense (1 clean sheet). Alianza, at home, is more irregular (3 wins, 4 losses). Historical statistics suggest a potentially tight match.
Our Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellin predictions
Both teams to score
Independiente Medellin has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Alianza FC, at home, has scored in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%) and conceded at least one goal in 7 of these 10 matches (70%). Medellin's defense is weak (1 clean sheet in 10 matches, 9 matches where they conceded). Statistically, it is very likely that Medellin scores, and Alianza, with the home advantage, has a good chance of finding the net against a leaky defense.
1.71
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Alianza FC had under 2.5 goals in 6 cases (60%) and Independiente Medellin in 4 cases (40%). Alianza, at home, has a limited attack (only 6 out of 10 matches with more than 1.5 goals scored by the opponent). Medellin, although better offensively, rarely scores more than 1.5 goals per match (5/10). The combination of Alianza's sometimes solid defense (3 clean sheets) and Medellin's attack that can be contained away favors a low-scoring match.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Both teams have drawn in 3 of their respective last 10 matches (30% each). Alianza, at home, is irregular (3W, 3D, 4L). Medellin, the favorite, has a success rate of 40% as the favorite (4 wins out of 10 occasions). However, they did not lose as the favorite in 6 of these 10 matches (60% non-defeat). A draw is a plausible scenario given Alianza's mixed form at home and Medellin's difficulty in imposing themselves systematically away despite their favorite status.
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alianza FC vs Independiente Medellin Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 90% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
75% (3/4) | Francisco Fydriszewski | ||
25% (1/4) | Alexis Serna | ||
25% (1/4) | Yony Gonzalez | ||
25% (1/4) | Baldomero Perlaza | ||
50% (1/2) | Diego Moreno |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Munoz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Francisco Fydriszewski |
| Misael Martinez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Diego Moreno |
| Yeiner Londono | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexis Serna |
| Felipe Pardo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yony Gonzalez |
| Pedro Franco | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Baldomero Perlaza |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 20% |
1.5 | 0% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Atletico Nacional | 71%(17/24) |
| 2 |  | Junior FC | 54%(13/24) |
| 3 |  | America de Cali | 48%(10/21) |
| 4 |  | Tolima | 43%(10/23) |
| 5 |  | Deportivo Pasto | 48%(10/21) |
| 6 |  | Santa Fe | 35%(8/23) |
| 7 |  | Once Caldas | 38%(8/21) |
| 8 |  | Internacional de Bogota | 33%(7/21) |
| 9 |  | Deportivo Cali | 37%(7/19) |
| 10 | | Independiente Medellin | 37%(7/19) |
| 11 |  | Millonarios | 37%(7/19) |
| 12 |  | Aguilas Doradas | 32%(6/19) |
| 13 |  | Chico FC | 26%(5/19) |
| 14 |  | CD Jaguares | 26%(5/19) |
| 15 |  | Fortaleza FC | 26%(5/19) |
| 16 |  | Bucaramanga | 26%(5/19) |
| 17 |  | Llaneros FC | 21%(4/19) |
| 18 | | Alianza FC | 16%(3/19) |
| 19 |  | Cucuta | 16%(3/19) |
| 20 |  | Deportivo Pereira | 5%(1/19) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera A Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera A Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera A Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Colombia. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera A Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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