Tolima - Deportivo Cali: our prediction

Deportivo Cali has a very low offensive capacity, especially away from home. In their last 10 matches, they have scored less than 1.5 goals in 80% of cases. Furthermore, they have only scored more than 1.5 goals in 20% of their matches. Tolima, at home, has a defense that concedes goals (70% of their matches see both teams score or the opponent score), but Cali's weakness is such that it is likely they will not score or only score one goal.

Although Tolima tends to see matches with over 2.5 goals (50% of their matches), Deportivo Cali is extremely weak in this regard: only 10% of their matches exceed 2.5 goals. Furthermore, 90% of Cali's matches have under 2.5 goals. Cali's offensive weakness away from home and their tendency to play low-scoring matches make this bet very interesting.

Tolima plays at home and is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 2.22). In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times (40% success rate) and lost only 3 times. As a favorite, they have won 4 out of 7 times (57%). Deportivo Cali, away from home, has a poor record with only 2 wins in 10 matches and only one win as a favorite in 7. Form and home advantage clearly favor Tolima.