Tolima - Deportivo Cali: our prediction
03/05/2026•22:30
Tolima
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Deportivo Cali
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Preview — Primera A Apertura
Tolima, favorites at home, face Deportivo Cali. Tolima has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Cali has a low away win rate (20%). Both teams have defensive issues, but Tolima seems more solid offensively.
Our Tolima vs Deportivo Cali predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali has a very low offensive capacity, especially away from home. In their last 10 matches, they have scored less than 1.5 goals in 80% of cases. Furthermore, they have only scored more than 1.5 goals in 20% of their matches. Tolima, at home, has a defense that concedes goals (70% of their matches see both teams score or the opponent score), but Cali's weakness is such that it is likely they will not score or only score one goal.
3.11
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Although Tolima tends to see matches with over 2.5 goals (50% of their matches), Deportivo Cali is extremely weak in this regard: only 10% of their matches exceed 2.5 goals. Furthermore, 90% of Cali's matches have under 2.5 goals. Cali's offensive weakness away from home and their tendency to play low-scoring matches make this bet very interesting.
1.57
Confidence
High (65 %)
Tolima to win
Tolima plays at home and is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 2.22). In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times (40% success rate) and lost only 3 times. As a favorite, they have won 4 out of 7 times (57%). Deportivo Cali, away from home, has a poor record with only 2 wins in 10 matches and only one win as a favorite in 7. Form and home advantage clearly favor Tolima.
3.1
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Tolima vs Deportivo Cali
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 29% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jersson Gonzalez | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Luis Sandoval | 100% (3/3) | ||
| Juan Pablo Torres | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Ever Valencia | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Jherson Mosquera | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Sebastian Guzman | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Adrian Parra | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jersson Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Steven Rodriguez |
| Luis Sandoval | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Aviles Hurtado |
| Jherson Mosquera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matias Orozco |
| Sebastian Guzman | ⚽1 | ||
| Adrian Parra | ⚽1 | ||
| Ever Valencia | ⚽1 | ||
| Juan Pablo Torres | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 33% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 33% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 0% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers