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Valencia - Athletic Bilbao: our prediction

04/02/2026•21:00

Valencia

1:2

(1:1)

Finished

Athletic Bilbao

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Preview — Copa del Rey

Valencia hosts Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. Valencia, at home, has average form with 4 wins in 10 matches, while Athletic Bilbao, slight favourites, have poor away form with only 1 win in 10 matches. Statistics show a high probability that both teams will score.

Our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao predictions

Both teams to score

Valencia have seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Athletic Bilbao in 80%. Both defences are leaky, and the attacks are capable of scoring. Hugo Duro (Valencia) and Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic) are in-form scorers.

1.8

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

Athletic Bilbao's matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (70% of last 10 matches). Valencia have a lower tendency (40%), but the combination of weak defence and effective attack from both sides could lead to a match with several goals.

2.05

Confidence

Medium

Athletic Bilbao to win

Athletic Bilbao are the bookmakers' favourite with odds of 2.62. Despite poor away form (1 win in 10 matches), they have a productive attack (8 BTTS matches out of 10) and can rely on scorers like Guruzeta. Valencia, at home, have a fragile defence (70% of matches with BTTS).

3.25

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Valencia	Athletic Bilbao
Win	4 3 3	1 4 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	60%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	40%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	25%
Win by being an outsider	20%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	80% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	60%
2nd half	60%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Guido Rodriguez	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Gorka Guruzeta
Umar Sadiq	30% (3/10)	29% (2/7)	Oihan Sancet
Javier Guerra	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Robert Navarro
Largie Ramazani	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Daniel Vivian
Hugo Duro	20% (2/10)	17% (1/6)	Nico Williams
Diego Lopez	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Urko Izeta
Luis Rioja	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Aitor Paredes
		10% (1/10)	Inaki Williams

Total goals per player

	1	2
Guido Rodriguez	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Gorka Guruzeta
Javier Guerra	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Oihan Sancet
Umar Sadiq	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Nico Williams
Largie Ramazani	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Daniel Vivian
Hugo Duro	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Urko Izeta
Diego Lopez	⚽1	⚽1	Aitor Paredes
Luis Rioja	⚽1	⚽1	Robert Navarro
		⚽1	Inaki Williams

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	50%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	20%
Over corners 11.5	50%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	40%	70%
Over corners 5.5	30%	50%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	70%
1.5	50%	60%
2.5	40%	50%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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