Valencia - Athletic Bilbao: our prediction
04/02/2026•21:00
Valencia
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Athletic Bilbao
-
1
-
X
-
2
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Preview — Copa del Rey
Valencia hosts Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. Valencia, at home, has average form with 4 wins in 10 matches, while Athletic Bilbao, slight favourites, have poor away form with only 1 win in 10 matches. Statistics show a high probability that both teams will score.
Our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao predictions
Both teams to score
Valencia have seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Athletic Bilbao in 80%. Both defences are leaky, and the attacks are capable of scoring. Hugo Duro (Valencia) and Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic) are in-form scorers.
1.8
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Athletic Bilbao's matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (70% of last 10 matches). Valencia have a lower tendency (40%), but the combination of weak defence and effective attack from both sides could lead to a match with several goals.
2.05
Confidence
Medium
Athletic Bilbao to win
Athletic Bilbao are the bookmakers' favourite with odds of 2.62. Despite poor away form (1 win in 10 matches), they have a productive attack (8 BTTS matches out of 10) and can rely on scorers like Guruzeta. Valencia, at home, have a fragile defence (70% of matches with BTTS).
3.25
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 1 4 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 80% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 60% |
2nd half | 60% | 10% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Rodriguez | 30% (3/10) | 40% (4/10) | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Umar Sadiq | 30% (3/10) | 29% (2/7) | Oihan Sancet |
| Javier Guerra | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Robert Navarro |
| Largie Ramazani | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Daniel Vivian |
| Hugo Duro | 20% (2/10) | 17% (1/6) | Nico Williams |
| Diego Lopez | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Urko Izeta |
| Luis Rioja | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aitor Paredes |
10% (1/10) | Inaki Williams |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Rodriguez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Javier Guerra | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Oihan Sancet |
| Umar Sadiq | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Nico Williams |
| Largie Ramazani | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Daniel Vivian |
| Hugo Duro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Urko Izeta |
| Diego Lopez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aitor Paredes |
| Luis Rioja | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Robert Navarro |
⚽1 | Inaki Williams |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 70% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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