HJK - Ilves: our prediction
16/05/2026•13:00
HJK
2:2
(1:1)
Finished
Ilves
-
1
-
X
-
2
HJK vs Ilves Preview — Veikkausliiga
HJK, the favorite at home, faces Ilves. HJK has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Ilves has a 70% rate for both teams to score and 70% for over 2.5 goals. HJK has a stronger defense (4 clean sheets) than Ilves (2 clean sheets).
Our HJK vs Ilves predictions
Under 3.5 goals
HJK has an 80% rate of under 3.5 goals in their last 10 matches, while Ilves has a 40% rate. HJK's defense is solid (4 clean sheets). Both teams tend to play low-scoring matches.
1.53
Confidence
Very high
Under 1.5 goals for Ilves
Ilves has a 50% rate of under 1.5 goals per team in their last 10 matches. HJK has a 60% rate of under 1.5 goals conceded per match. HJK's defense is solid, limiting Ilves' opportunities.
1.5
Confidence
High
HJK to win
HJK is the favorite with odds of 1.65 and has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches. Ilves has a 40% loss rate in their last 10 matches. HJK plays at home, which strengthens their position. No major injuries reported.
1.62
Confidence
High
Market signals on HJK vs Ilves
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
HJK vs Ilves Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Borchers | 38% (3/8) | 50% (4/8) | Teemu Hytoenen |
| Lassi Lappalainen | 25% (2/8) | 38% (3/8) | Jardell Kanga |
| Liam Moeller | 25% (2/8) | 25% (2/8) | Maksim Stjopin |
| Alfie Cicale | 29% (2/7) | 29% (2/7) | Oskari Multala |
| Emil Levealahti | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Goudouss Bamba |
| David Ezeh | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Otto Tiitinen |
| Toivo Mero | 13% (1/8) | 20% (1/5) | Roope Riski |
| Mustafa Ameen | 100% (1/1) | 13% (1/8) | Jesse Kilo |
| Martin Kirilov | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Kalle Wallius |
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Teemu Pukki | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Mihailo Bogicevic | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Borchers | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Teemu Hytoenen |
| Liam Moeller | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Maksim Stjopin |
| Teemu Pukki | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jardell Kanga |
| Martin Kirilov | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Oskari Multala |
| Alfie Cicale | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Otto Tiitinen |
| David Ezeh | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Kalle Wallius |
| Toivo Mero | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Goudouss Bamba |
| Lassi Lappalainen | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jesse Kilo |
| Emil Levealahti | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Roope Riski |
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | ⚽1 | ||
| Mihailo Bogicevic | ⚽1 | ||
| Mustafa Ameen | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 50% |
1.5 | 20% | 40% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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