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USM Alger - ES Mostaganem: our prediction

12/05/2026•20:00

USM Alger

1:1

(1:1)

Finished

ES Mostaganem

USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem Preview — Ligue 1

USM Alger hosts ES Mostaganem in an Algerian Ligue 1 match. The home team, although favored, shows mixed form with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. ES Mostaganem, on the other hand, is struggling with 7 defeats in 10 games. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match.

Our USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

USM Alger has had under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. ES Mostaganem has also seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of its last 10 matches. Both teams have ineffective attacks (USMA: 2 wins/10, ES Mostaganem: 1 win/10) and defensive statistics (clean sheets) are limited. No information on major injuries was found to influence this scenario.

2.34

Confidence

High

ES Mostaganem scores under 1.5 goals

ES Mostaganem has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. The team struggles to create chances, with only 1 win in 10 matches. Facing a USM Alger defense that has kept a clean sheet 5 times in 10, Mostaganem is likely to struggle to score. No key absences reported.

1.3

Confidence

High

USM Alger to win

USM Alger is playing at home and is favored. Although its recent form is not excellent (2 wins/10), it faces an ES Mostaganem in great difficulty (7 defeats/10). The home advantage and the theoretical level difference lean in favor of USMA. However, the low home win rate (2/10) tempers optimism. No major injuries were identified.

1.09

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	USM Alger	ES Mostaganem
Win	3 3 4	1 2 7
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	33%
Win by being a favorite	43%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	14%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	20% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	50%
2nd half	20%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ahmed Khaldi	100% (4/4)
Riad Benayad	75% (3/4)
Zakaria Draoui	50% (2/4)
Glody Likonza	50% (2/4)
Ilyes Chetti	25% (1/4)
Hocine Dehiri	25% (1/4)
Saadi Redouani	25% (1/4)
Mohamed Bouderbala	25% (1/4)
Aime Tendeng	25% (1/4)
Haithem Loucif	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Riad Benayad	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Zoubir Motrani
Ahmed Khaldi	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽1	Abdellah El Moudene
Zakaria Draoui	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Farid Hamza Laireche
Glody Likonza	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Mohamed Toumi
Aime Tendeng	⚽1
Haithem Loucif	⚽1
Hocine Dehiri	⚽1
Saadi Redouani	⚽1
Ilyes Chetti	⚽1
Mohamed Bouderbala	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	50%	0%
Over corners 7.5	50%	0%
Over corners 8.5	30%	0%
Over corners 9.5	20%	0%
Over corners 10.5	10%	0%
Over corners 11.5	10%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	20%	0%
Over corners 3.5	20%	0%
Over corners 4.5	20%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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