USM Alger - ES Mostaganem: our prediction
12/05/2026•20:00
USM Alger
1:1
(1:1)
Finished
ES Mostaganem
-
1
-
X
-
2
USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem Preview — Ligue 1
USM Alger hosts ES Mostaganem in an Algerian Ligue 1 match. The home team, although favored, shows mixed form with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. ES Mostaganem, on the other hand, is struggling with 7 defeats in 10 games. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match.
Our USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
USM Alger has had under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. ES Mostaganem has also seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of its last 10 matches. Both teams have ineffective attacks (USMA: 2 wins/10, ES Mostaganem: 1 win/10) and defensive statistics (clean sheets) are limited. No information on major injuries was found to influence this scenario.
2.34
Confidence
High
ES Mostaganem scores under 1.5 goals
ES Mostaganem has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. The team struggles to create chances, with only 1 win in 10 matches. Facing a USM Alger defense that has kept a clean sheet 5 times in 10, Mostaganem is likely to struggle to score. No key absences reported.
1.3
Confidence
High
USM Alger to win
USM Alger is playing at home and is favored. Although its recent form is not excellent (2 wins/10), it faces an ES Mostaganem in great difficulty (7 defeats/10). The home advantage and the theoretical level difference lean in favor of USMA. However, the low home win rate (2/10) tempers optimism. No major injuries were identified.
1.09
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
USM Alger vs ES Mostaganem Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 1 2 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 14% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 20% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 50% |
2nd half | 20% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed Khaldi | 100% (4/4) | ||
| Riad Benayad | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Zakaria Draoui | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Glody Likonza | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Ilyes Chetti | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Hocine Dehiri | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Saadi Redouani | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Mohamed Bouderbala | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Aime Tendeng | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Haithem Loucif | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Riad Benayad | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Zoubir Motrani |
| Ahmed Khaldi | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Abdellah El Moudene |
| Zakaria Draoui | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Farid Hamza Laireche |
| Glody Likonza | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mohamed Toumi |
| Aime Tendeng | ⚽1 | ||
| Haithem Loucif | ⚽1 | ||
| Hocine Dehiri | ⚽1 | ||
| Saadi Redouani | ⚽1 | ||
| Ilyes Chetti | ⚽1 | ||
| Mohamed Bouderbala | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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