USA - Japan: our prediction
18/04/2026•03:00
USA
3:0
(0:0)
Finished
Japan
-
1
-
X
-
2
USA vs Japan Preview — Friendlies
Friendly match between the United States (at home) and Japan. The United States are favorites with odds of 1.94, showing excellent recent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches. Japan, struggling away from home, has won only 1 of its last 5 away matches. Statistics suggest a potentially one-sided match with a solid American defense.
Our USA vs Japan predictions
United States Victory
The United States are in excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches (90% success rate). At home and favorites with bookmakers (odds 1.94), they have a 'Does not lose when favorite' indicator at 90% over 10 matches. Japan has a low away win rate (1 out of last 5 matches) and a defense that often concedes (clean sheet only 3 times in 10). No information on major absences was found. American superiority, especially defensive (8 clean sheets in 10), should be confirmed.
1.89
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistical analysis shows a balance: 'Over 2.5 goals' succeeded 5 times out of 10 for the USA and 6 times out of 10 for Japan. However, the most likely scenario is a controlled American victory (2-0, 1-0). The American defense (80% clean sheets) strongly limits the total number of goals. Japan, ineffective away from home, should struggle to score. Therefore, the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet (successful 5 times out of 10 for the USA, 4 times out of 10 for Japan) is consistent with an American victory without offensive extravagance.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on USA vs Japan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
USA vs Japan Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 10% 90% | 60% 10% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Sentnor | 25% (2/8) | 33% (1/3) | Maika Hamano |
| Emma Sears | 20% (2/10) | 33% (1/3) | Riko Ueki |
| Trinity Rodman | 25% (2/8) | 33% (1/3) | Mina Tanaka |
| Lindsey Heaps | 25% (2/8) | ||
| Jaedyn Shaw | 25% (2/8) | ||
| Catarina Macario | 100% (2/2) | ||
| Rose Lavelle | 25% (2/8) | ||
| Croix Bethune | 33% (1/3) | ||
| Alyssa Thompson | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Jameese Joseph | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Kennedy Wesley | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Naomi Girma | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Emily Sams | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Olivia Moultrie | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Reilyn Turner | 50% (1/2) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Sentnor | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Maika Hamano |
| Catarina Macario | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Mina Tanaka |
| Jaedyn Shaw | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Riko Ueki |
| Lindsey Heaps | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Trinity Rodman | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Emma Sears | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Rose Lavelle | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Reilyn Turner | ⚽1 | ||
| Emily Sams | ⚽1 | ||
| Naomi Girma | ⚽1 | ||
| Olivia Moultrie | ⚽1 | ||
| Jameese Joseph | ⚽1 | ||
| Kennedy Wesley | ⚽1 | ||
| Croix Bethune | ⚽1 | ||
| Alyssa Thompson | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 67% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 67% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 33% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 17% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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