FK Liepaja - BFC Daugavpils: our prediction
17/05/2026•18:00
FK Liepaja
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
BFC Daugavpils
-
1
-
X
-
2
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Preview — Virsliga
FK Liepaja, the favorite, hosts BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. Liepaja has shown inconsistent form with 3 wins in 10 matches, while Daugavpils has 4 wins. Both teams have fragile defenses, with a high rate of matches where both teams score (60% each). Odds favor Liepaja (1.76).
Our FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils predictions
Both teams to score
Both teams have a 60% rate of 'Both teams to score' in their last 10 matches. Defenses are porous: FK Liepaja kept a clean sheet only once in 10, and BFC Daugavpils only twice. The attacks, while modest, seem capable of scoring against these defenses.
1.55
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 3.5 goals
Statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches. FK Liepaja has 70% of its matches under 3.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils also 70%. Both teams struggle to score more than 1.5 goals per match (FK Liepaja 3 times in 10, BFC Daugavpils 3 times in 10). A match with fewer than 4 goals is therefore very likely.
1.44
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Although Liepaja is the favorite, its form is mediocre (3 wins in 10 matches). Daugavpils has a similar record (4 wins). Both teams have a significant number of draws (Liepaja 3, Daugavpils 2 in 10). Combined with Liepaja's difficulty winning as a favorite (only 3 wins in 8 matches as favorite), a draw is a plausible outcome.
3.5
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyvon Leidsman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Joel Yakubu |
| Rodolphe Ekou | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Rostand Ndjiki |
| Danila Patijcuks | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Artem Garzha |
| Ivans Patrikejevs | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | William Mukwelle |
| Fellipe Vieira | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mamadou Sylla |
| Djibril Gueye | ⚽1 | ||
| Vladislavs Sorokins | ⚽1 | ||
| Chovanie Amatkarijo | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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