Asociacion Deportiva Tarma - FBC Melgar: our prediction
20/03/2026•21:30
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
FBC Melgar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Preview — Liga 1 Apertura
FBC Melgar is the favorite for this Liga 1 Apertura match against AD Tarma. Melgar shows better recent form (40% wins in the last 10 games) and a more prolific attack, while Tarma, at home, struggles to win (30% wins). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with few goals.
Our Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar predictions
FBC Melgar scores at least 1 goal
FBC Melgar has a much more effective attack than Tarma. They have scored at least one goal in 90% of their last 10 matches (indicator 'Over 0.5 goals per team'). Players like Bernardo Cuesta (4 goals) are in form. Against Tarma's defense (50% clean sheets, but vulnerable), and with favorite status, Melgar has a high chance of finding the back of the net at least once. No known major absences disrupt their offensive sector.
1.3
Confidence
High
AD Tarma scores under 1.5 goals
AD Tarma's attack is very weak. In the last 10 matches, they have scored over 1.5 goals in only 20% of cases (2 matches). They even have an 80% rate for 'Under 1.5 goals per team'. At home, their only win in 10 away matches (for the opponent) shows their lack of offensive punch. Against Melgar's defense (40% clean sheets), it is very likely that Tarma will not score more than one goal.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
AD Tarma has seen 80% of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals. FBC Melgar has a 40% rate for this same indicator. Tarma's attack is weak (only 2 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored). Melgar, although better, plays away. First-half goal statistics are also low for both teams. No information on major injuries was found for this match.
1.73
Confidence
High
Market signals on Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 75% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 60% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 0% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Guivin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jhonny Vidales |
| Jonathan Jesus Bauman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Bernardo Cuesta |
| Victor Cedron | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nicolas Quagliata |
| Joao Rojas | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Matias Zegarra |
| Aylton Mazzo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Javier Salas |
| Luis Gomez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jesus Alcantar |
| Luis Benites | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brian Guzman |
| Angel Ojeda Allauca | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 83% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 33% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 17% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 17% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 17% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Alianza Lima | 71%(12/17) |
| 2 |  | Cienciano | 59%(10/17) |
| 3 |  | Los Chankas | 59%(10/17) |
| 4 |  | Universitario de Deportes | 47%(8/17) |
| 5 |  | Cusco FC | 47%(8/17) |
| 6 | | FBC Melgar | 47%(8/17) |
| 7 |  | Deportivo Garcilaso | 41%(7/17) |
| 8 |  | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma | 29%(5/17) |
| 9 |  | Club Deportivo Moquegua | 29%(5/17) |
| 10 |  | Comerciantes Unidos | 29%(5/17) |
| 11 |  | Alianza Atletico | 29%(5/17) |
| 12 |  | Sporting Cristal | 29%(5/17) |
| 13 |  | Sport Boys | 29%(5/17) |
| 14 |  | CD UT Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Sport Huancayo | 24%(4/17) |
| 16 |  | FC Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 17 | | ADC Juan Pablo II | 24%(4/17) |
| 18 |  | Atletico Grau | 24%(4/17) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 1 Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 1 Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 1 Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Peru. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 1 Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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