Marseille - Toulouse: our prediction
04/03/2026•21:00
Marseille
2:2
(1:1)
Finished AP
3 tab 4
Toulouse
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marseille vs Toulouse Preview — Coupe de France
Marseille hosts Toulouse in the French Cup. Bookmakers favor Marseille with odds at 1.62. In their last 10 matches, Marseille has won 4, drawn 2, and lost 4. Toulouse has a similar record with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Statistics show a strong goal trend for Marseille (Over 2.5 at 90%) and a more solid defense from Toulouse away.
Our Marseille vs Toulouse predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics are very clear: in Marseille's last 10 matches, 9 have exceeded 2.5 goals (90%). Even away, Toulouse has seen 3 of its last 10 matches exceed this limit. Marseille's attack (Gouiri 5 goals, Aubameyang 4, Greenwood 4) is prolific, but its defense is fragile (only 1 clean sheet in 10). Toulouse can take advantage of these weaknesses to score, thus contributing to a high total goals.
1.82
Confidence
Very high
Marseille Win
Marseille is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.62). In their last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 40% (4/10) and a non-loss rate of 60% when favored. Their attack is performing well with 9 out of 10 matches seeing over 2.5 goals. At home against a Toulouse that struggles to win away (0 wins in last 10 away matches), an OM victory is the most likely scenario.
1.79
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
This bet is supported by the defensive tendencies of both teams. Marseille has kept only one clean sheet in its last 10 matches. Toulouse, for its part, has scored in 7 of its last 10 away matches. With in-form attackers on both sides (Gouiri, Aubameyang for OM; Gboho, Vignolo for Toulouse) and unconvincing defenses, both nets are likely to ripple. However, Toulouse's occasional defensive solidity away (3 clean sheets in 10) slightly tempers confidence.
1.72
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marseille vs Toulouse
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marseille vs Toulouse Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 29% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Emersonn |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 22% (2/9) | 25% (2/8) | Dayann Methalie |
| Mason Greenwood | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Warren Kamanzi |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Igor Paixao | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Hamed Traore | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Yann Gboho |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aron Doennum |
11% (1/9) | Cristian Casseres Jr. | ||
11% (1/9) | Mario Sauer | ||
10% (1/10) | Seny Koumbassa | ||
10% (1/10) | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Emersonn |
| Mason Greenwood | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Yann Gboho |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Dayann Methalie |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Seny Koumbassa |
| Ethan Nwaneri | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Hamed Traore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aron Doennum |
| Igor Paixao | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
⚽1 | Mario Sauer | ||
⚽1 | Rasmus Nicolaisen | ||
⚽1 | Santiago Hidalgo | ||
⚽1 | Warren Kamanzi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 50% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers