Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad: our prediction
18/04/2026•21:00
Atletico Madrid
2:2
(1:2)
Finished AP
3 tab 4
Real Sociedad
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Preview — Copa del Rey
Atlético Madrid, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.80), hosts Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey. The Colchoneros show mixed form (4W, 0D, 6L in last 10), while Real Sociedad is more solid (5W, 2D, 3L). Recent statistics suggest an open match with goals.
Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions
Real Sociedad scores at least 1 goal
Real Sociedad scored in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10 for 'parou05'). Atlético kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10. Sociedad, with Oyarzabal (4 goals), Sucic (2 goals), and Soler (2 goals), has a diversified and effective attack. Against a fragile Madrid defense, scoring seems very likely.
1.38
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
Atlético saw both teams score in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10), Real Sociedad in 60% (6/10). Defenses are unreliable: Atlético kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Sociedad 4 times. With in-form attackers like Álvarez (4 goals) and Oyarzabal (4 goals), a goal from each side is likely.
1.57
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, 80% of Atlético's games exceeded 2.5 goals (8/10) and Real Sociedad 60% (6/10). Both teams score regularly (Atlético: 70% BTS, Sociedad: 60%). Atlético at home and Sociedad away have leaky defenses, favoring a match with several goals.
1.65
Confidence
High
Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 6 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 14% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 38% (3/8) | 56% (5/9) | Orri Oskarsson |
| Alexander Soerloth | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Nico Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 20% (2/10) | Aihen Munoz |
| Julian Alvarez | 50% (2/4) | 22% (2/9) | Jon Martin |
| Miguel Llorente | 17% (1/6) | 20% (2/10) | Luka Sucic |
| Marc Pubill | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Brais Mendez |
| Thiago Almada | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Carlos Soler |
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Pablo Marin |
| Iker Luque | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Ander Barrenetxea |
| Alejandro Baena | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Orri Oskarsson |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Aihen Munoz |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luka Sucic |
| Miguel Llorente | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jon Martin |
| Alejandro Baena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pablo Marin |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ander Barrenetxea |
| Iker Luque | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brais Mendez |
| Marc Pubill | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Carlos Soler |
| Thiago Almada | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 60% | 40% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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