AZ Alkmaar - Telstar: our prediction
04/03/2026•20:00
AZ Alkmaar
2:1
(0:0)
Finished
Telstar
-
1
-
X
-
2
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Preview — KNVB Cup
AZ Alkmaar, clear favorite at home, faces Telstar in the KNVB Cup. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for AZ, with a more prolific attack but a sometimes leaky defense. Telstar, often involved in high-scoring games, could score but will struggle to contain the opponent's offense.
Our AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar predictions
AZ Alkmaar to win
AZ Alkmaar is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.44). In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times (40%) and lost only 3. At home, they are strong. Telstar has lost 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). The technical superiority and favorite status of AZ, playing at home, make this scenario very likely.
1.46
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Statistics strongly support this bet. AZ Alkmaar has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Telstar is even more involved in this type of scenario, with both teams scoring in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). AZ's defense kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, and Telstar's only once. The probability of each team finding the net is high.
1.62
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
This bet is supported by the offensive trends of both teams, especially Telstar's. In the last 10 matches, Telstar's games exceeded 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10). For AZ, it's 40% (4/10). The combination of an expected dominant AZ attack and a fragile Telstar defense (1 clean sheet in 10) suggests a match with several goals. Confidence is medium because AZ can sometimes control the match and limit the score.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 56% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 22% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 80% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 60% | 80% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Mijnans | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Danny Bakker |
| Troy Parrott | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Sem van Duijn |
| Peer Koopmeiners | 40% (2/5) | 20% (2/10) | Kay Tejan |
| Mexx Meerdink | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Patrick Brouwer |
| Kees Smit | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Jeff Hardeveld |
| Jordy Clasie | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Tyrese Noslin |
| Matej Sin | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Ronald Koeman |
| Mees de Wit | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Jelani Seedorf |
| Mateo Chavez | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Guus Offerhaus |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Noekkvi Thorisson |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Mijnans | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Sem van Duijn |
| Troy Parrott | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Patrick Brouwer |
| Peer Koopmeiners | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Danny Bakker |
| Mexx Meerdink | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jeff Hardeveld |
| Kees Smit | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Kay Tejan |
| Jordy Clasie | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ronald Koeman |
| Mateo Chavez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Noekkvi Thorisson |
| Matej Sin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jelani Seedorf |
| Mees de Wit | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tyrese Noslin |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guus Offerhaus |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 70% |
1.5 | 80% | 10% |
2.5 | 50% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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