NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven: our prediction
03/03/2026•20:00
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
(2:2)
Finished
PSV Eindhoven
-
1
-
X
-
2
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Preview — KNVB Cup
PSV Eindhoven, clear favorite (odds 1.6), faces NEC Nijmegen away in the KNVB Cup. PSV shows solid form (6 wins in last 10 matches) and a very prolific attack (100% success rate for Over 2.5 goals). NEC, struggling away from home, has a fragile defense but an attack capable of scoring. An open match with goals is expected.
Our NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics are extremely convincing: PSV has achieved Over 2.5 goals in 10/10 last matches (100%). NEC has achieved it in 7/10 (70%). Both teams score regularly (NEC: 90% BTS, PSV: 80% BTS). Defenses are leaky (very few clean sheets). The offensive form of favorite PSV and NEC's ability to score at home promise a match with over 2 goals.
1.3
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
NEC has scored at least one goal in 9/10 last matches (90% BTS). PSV has scored in 9/10 (80% BTS). Defenses are rarely impenetrable: NEC kept only one clean sheet, PSV also only one. Even as a favorite, PSV often concedes (9/10 matches without a clean sheet). At home, NEC is capable of troubling a PSV defense that is not invulnerable, especially in the Cup.
1.36
Confidence
High
PSV Eindhoven scores over 1.5 goals
PSV has managed to score over 1.5 goals in 7/10 last matches (70%). Facing a NEC defense that has conceded at least 2 goals in several of its recent matches, and considering the huge gap in offensive quality, PSV has the means to score at least twice. Its attacking consistency (100% Over 1.5 goals per match) and its status as a heavy favorite support this bet.
1.4
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 88% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 80% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Linssen | 30% (3/10) | 60% (6/10) | Ricardo Pepi |
| Noe Lebreton | 20% (2/10) | 43% (3/7) | Ismael Saibari |
| Tjaronn Chery | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Couhaib Driouech |
| Basar Onal | 25% (2/8) | 29% (2/7) | Guus Til |
| Darko Nejasmic | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Dennis Man |
| Youssef El Kachati | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Kilian Sildillia |
| Koki Ogawa | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Myron Boadu |
| Sami Ouaissa | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ivan Perisic |
| Danilo | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Ryan Flamingo |
11% (1/9) | Paul Wanner | ||
11% (1/9) | Esmir Bajraktarevic | ||
13% (1/8) | Noah Fernandez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Linssen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Ricardo Pepi |
| Noe Lebreton | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ismael Saibari |
| Tjaronn Chery | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Couhaib Driouech |
| Basar Onal | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Guus Til |
| Youssef El Kachati | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Kilian Sildillia |
| Koki Ogawa | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Esmir Bajraktarevic |
| Darko Nejasmic | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ivan Perisic |
| Sami Ouaissa | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Dennis Man |
| Danilo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Myron Boadu |
⚽1 | Noah Fernandez | ||
⚽1 | Paul Wanner | ||
⚽1 | Ryan Flamingo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 30% | 50% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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