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Toronto FC - Atletico Ottawa: our prediction

06/05/2026•01:30

Toronto FC

1:3

(1:0)

Finished

Atletico Ottawa

Toronto FC vs Atletico Ottawa Preview — Canadian Championship

Toronto FC, favorite with odds of 1.37, faces Atletico Ottawa in the Canadian Championship. Toronto has shown solid form at home, with a tendency to score goals, while Ottawa struggles away. Both teams have leaky defenses.

Our Toronto FC vs Atletico Ottawa predictions

Toronto FC to Win

Toronto FC is the logical favorite with odds of 1.37. At home, they have a 30% win rate in their last 10 matches, but their overall form is better than Ottawa's. Atletico Ottawa has lost 5 of their last 10 matches and has a low away win rate (20%). Toronto's offensive power, led by Daniel Salloi (4 goals), should make the difference against an Ottawa defense that has conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches.

1.33

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to concede goals. Toronto has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches (90% 'clean sheet no'). Atletico Ottawa has conceded goals in 80% of their matches. Additionally, Toronto has seen both teams score in 80% of their matches. Ottawa's defense is weak, but they have shown they can score, with 7 of their last 10 matches seeing over 0.5 goals from their side.

1.95

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 Goals in the Match

Statistics show a moderate trend for over 2.5 goals. Toronto has seen this scenario occur in 60% of their matches, while Ottawa in 40%. Combined with the defensive weakness on both sides and Toronto's offensive capability, it is likely that the match will exceed 2.5 goals. However, Ottawa tends to play lower-scoring matches, making this bet less certain than the first two.

1.64

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Toronto FC vs Atletico Ottawa

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toronto FC vs Atletico Ottawa Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Toronto FC	Atletico Ottawa
Win	3 5 2	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	20%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	80%	29%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	40%	29%
Win by being an outsider	40%	29%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	50% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	70%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Joshua Sargent	50% (3/6)	50% (1/2)	Tyr Walker
Emilio Aristizabal	22% (2/9)	50% (1/2)	Jonantan Villal
Richie Laryea	50% (2/4)	50% (1/2)	Kamron Habibullah
Daniel Salloi	22% (2/9)	50% (1/2)	Noah Abatneh
Kobe Franklin	22% (2/9)	50% (1/2)	Ballou Tabla
Luka Gavran	11% (1/9)	50% (1/2)	Emiliano Garcia
Derrick Etienne	11% (1/9)	100% (1/1)	Joaquim Coulanges
Deandre Kerr	20% (1/5)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Joshua Sargent	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Ballou Tabla
Emilio Aristizabal	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Tyr Walker
Kobe Franklin	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Noah Abatneh
Richie Laryea	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Emiliano Garcia
Daniel Salloi	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jonantan Villal
Luka Gavran	⚽1	⚽1	Kamron Habibullah
Deandre Kerr	⚽1	⚽1	Wesley Timoteo
Derrick Etienne	⚽1	⚽1	Joaquim Coulanges

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	0%
Over corners 7.5	80%	0%
Over corners 8.5	80%	0%
Over corners 9.5	70%	0%
Over corners 10.5	70%	0%
Over corners 11.5	50%	0%
Over corners 12.5	40%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	0%
Over corners 3.5	80%	0%
Over corners 4.5	80%	0%
Over corners 5.5	50%	0%
Over corners 6.5	40%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	0%
1.5	60%	0%
2.5	30%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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