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Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen: our prediction

07/03/2026•20:30

Dunfermline Athletic

3:0

(2:0)

Finished

Aberdeen

Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen Preview — FA Cup

Aberdeen, the bookmakers' favourite, faces Dunfermline Athletic away in the FA Cup. Despite recent inconsistent form (3 wins in 10 games), Aberdeen has an individual advantage. Dunfermline, struggling away from home, can rely on the home factor. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match.

Our Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen predictions

Aberdeen Win

Aberdeen is clearly the favourite (odds at 1.69). Despite average recent form (3W, 1D, 6L in 10 games), they play at a higher level and have sharper attackers (Nisbet, 6 goals). Dunfermline, at home, has a solid defence (5 clean sheets in 10) but lacks consistency against top teams. Individual quality should make the difference.

1.91

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

The statistics of the last 10 games are telling: Dunfermline saw under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10), Aberdeen also in 60% of its matches (6/10). Moreover, 'Both Teams to Score' occurred in only 30% of matches for each team. Dunfermline's solid home defence (5 clean sheets) and Aberdeen's sometimes ineffective attack (only 3 goals in 10 games) reinforce this trend.

1.83

Confidence

High

Market signals on Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Dunfermline Athletic	Aberdeen
Win	6 1 3	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	50%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	83%	20%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	67%	0%
Win by being an outsider	67%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	30% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	60%
2nd half	50%	0%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Josh Cooper	30% (3/10)	20% (2/10)	Kevin Nisbet
Christopher Kane	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Toyosi Olusanya
Charlie Gilmour	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Afeez Aremu
Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen	14% (1/7)	13% (1/8)	Stuart Armstrong
Chris Hamilton	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Dennis Geiger
Tashan Oakley-Boothe	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Mitchel Frame
Callum Morrison	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Liam Morrison
Lucas Fyfe	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Josh Cooper	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Kevin Nisbet
Christopher Kane	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Toyosi Olusanya
Charlie Gilmour	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Dennis Geiger
Tashan Oakley-Boothe	⚽1	⚽1	Mitchel Frame
Chris Hamilton	⚽1	⚽1	Liam Morrison
Callum Morrison	⚽1	⚽1	Stuart Armstrong
Lucas Fyfe	⚽1	⚽1	Afeez Aremu
Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	90%
Over corners 7.5	100%	90%
Over corners 8.5	100%	90%
Over corners 9.5	50%	80%
Over corners 10.5	50%	60%
Over corners 11.5	50%	10%
Over corners 12.5	50%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	10%	60%
Over corners 3.5	10%	50%
Over corners 4.5	10%	40%
Over corners 5.5	10%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	60%	80%
2.5	40%	60%
3.5	20%	30%
4.5	0%	20%
5.5	0%	10%

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