Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen: our prediction
07/03/2026•20:30
Dunfermline Athletic
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Aberdeen
-
1
-
X
-
2
Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen Preview — FA Cup
Aberdeen, the bookmakers' favourite, faces Dunfermline Athletic away in the FA Cup. Despite recent inconsistent form (3 wins in 10 games), Aberdeen has an individual advantage. Dunfermline, struggling away from home, can rely on the home factor. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match.
Our Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen predictions
Aberdeen Win
Aberdeen is clearly the favourite (odds at 1.69). Despite average recent form (3W, 1D, 6L in 10 games), they play at a higher level and have sharper attackers (Nisbet, 6 goals). Dunfermline, at home, has a solid defence (5 clean sheets in 10) but lacks consistency against top teams. Individual quality should make the difference.
1.91
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
The statistics of the last 10 games are telling: Dunfermline saw under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10), Aberdeen also in 60% of its matches (6/10). Moreover, 'Both Teams to Score' occurred in only 30% of matches for each team. Dunfermline's solid home defence (5 clean sheets) and Aberdeen's sometimes ineffective attack (only 3 goals in 10 games) reinforce this trend.
1.83
Confidence
High
Market signals on Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 83% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 67% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 60% |
2nd half | 50% | 0% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cooper | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Kevin Nisbet |
| Christopher Kane | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Toyosi Olusanya |
| Charlie Gilmour | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Afeez Aremu |
| Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Stuart Armstrong |
| Chris Hamilton | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Dennis Geiger |
| Tashan Oakley-Boothe | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Mitchel Frame |
| Callum Morrison | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Liam Morrison |
| Lucas Fyfe | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cooper | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Kevin Nisbet |
| Christopher Kane | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Toyosi Olusanya |
| Charlie Gilmour | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Dennis Geiger |
| Tashan Oakley-Boothe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mitchel Frame |
| Chris Hamilton | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Liam Morrison |
| Callum Morrison | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Stuart Armstrong |
| Lucas Fyfe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Afeez Aremu |
| Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 60% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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