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Port Vale - Sunderland: our prediction

08/03/2026•14:30

Port Vale

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Sunderland

Port Vale vs Sunderland Preview — FA Cup

Port Vale hosts Sunderland in the FA Cup. Sunderland, the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.4), shows more solid form with 4 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to only 2 for Port Vale. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.

Our Port Vale vs Sunderland predictions

Port Vale scores under 1.5 goals

Port Vale has scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Their attack is not very prolific, with only 2 players having scored more than one goal during this period (Ben Waine and Jayden Stockley, 2 goals each). Facing Sunderland's defense, which has conceded only one goal per match on average over its last 10 matches, it is very likely that Port Vale will struggle to score more than one goal.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Sunderland scores at least 1 goal

Sunderland has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Their attackers Enzo Le Fee (4 goals) and Habib Diarra (3 goals) are in form. Port Vale has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%) and kept a clean sheet only 3 times. Sunderland's technical superiority should allow them to find the back of the net at least once.

1.13

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Port Vale has recorded under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Sunderland has done the same in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Both teams have offensive difficulties (Port Vale: 1.5 goals per match on average, Sunderland: 1.4). Sunderland's defense is relatively solid (1.2 goals conceded per match). The FA Cup context may encourage caution.

1.76

Confidence

High

Market signals on Port Vale vs Sunderland

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Port Vale vs Sunderland Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Port Vale	Sunderland
Win	2 4 4	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	0%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	71%	43%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	29%	14%
Win by being an outsider	29%	14%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	40%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ryan Croasdale	22% (2/9)	25% (2/8)	Nordi Mukiele
Martin Sherif	10% (1/10)	22% (2/9)	Brian Brobbey
Ethon Archer	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Wilson Isidor
Jordan Gabriel	11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)	Trai Hume
Connor Hall	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Chris Rigg
		11% (1/9)	Enzo Le Fee
		11% (1/9)	Chemsdine Talbi

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ryan Croasdale	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Brian Brobbey
Ethon Archer	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Wilson Isidor
Jordan Gabriel	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Trai Hume
Martin Sherif	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Nordi Mukiele
Connor Hall	⚽1	⚽1	Chemsdine Talbi
		⚽1	Chris Rigg
		⚽1	Enzo Le Fee

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	60%
Over corners 8.5	70%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	70%	30%
Over corners 11.5	40%	10%
Over corners 12.5	20%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	60%
Over corners 3.5	70%	20%
Over corners 4.5	70%	20%
Over corners 5.5	50%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	100%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	30%	50%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	10%	30%
5.5	0%	0%

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