Port Vale - Sunderland: our prediction
08/03/2026•14:30
Port Vale
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Sunderland
-
1
-
X
-
2
Port Vale vs Sunderland Preview — FA Cup
Port Vale hosts Sunderland in the FA Cup. Sunderland, the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.4), shows more solid form with 4 wins in their last 10 matches, compared to only 2 for Port Vale. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Port Vale vs Sunderland predictions
Port Vale scores under 1.5 goals
Port Vale has scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Their attack is not very prolific, with only 2 players having scored more than one goal during this period (Ben Waine and Jayden Stockley, 2 goals each). Facing Sunderland's defense, which has conceded only one goal per match on average over its last 10 matches, it is very likely that Port Vale will struggle to score more than one goal.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Sunderland scores at least 1 goal
Sunderland has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Their attackers Enzo Le Fee (4 goals) and Habib Diarra (3 goals) are in form. Port Vale has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%) and kept a clean sheet only 3 times. Sunderland's technical superiority should allow them to find the back of the net at least once.
1.13
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Port Vale has recorded under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Sunderland has done the same in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Both teams have offensive difficulties (Port Vale: 1.5 goals per match on average, Sunderland: 1.4). Sunderland's defense is relatively solid (1.2 goals conceded per match). The FA Cup context may encourage caution.
1.76
Confidence
High
Market signals on Port Vale vs Sunderland
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Port Vale vs Sunderland Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 4 4 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 71% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Croasdale | 22% (2/9) | 25% (2/8) | Nordi Mukiele |
| Martin Sherif | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Brian Brobbey |
| Ethon Archer | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Wilson Isidor |
| Jordan Gabriel | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Trai Hume |
| Connor Hall | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Chris Rigg |
11% (1/9) | Enzo Le Fee | ||
11% (1/9) | Chemsdine Talbi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Croasdale | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Brian Brobbey |
| Ethon Archer | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Wilson Isidor |
| Jordan Gabriel | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Trai Hume |
| Martin Sherif | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Nordi Mukiele |
| Connor Hall | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Chemsdine Talbi |
⚽1 | Chris Rigg | ||
⚽1 | Enzo Le Fee |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 30% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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