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Leeds United - Norwich City: our prediction

08/03/2026•17:30

Leeds United

3:0

(2:0)

Finished

Norwich City

Leeds United vs Norwich City Preview — FA Cup

Leeds United hosts Norwich City in the FA Cup. Leeds is the favorite with odds of 1.44, but their recent form is mixed (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 matches). Norwich, away, shows excellent form with 8 wins in 10. Statistics indicate both teams score often (Leeds 60%, Norwich 40%) and matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (Norwich 60%).

Our Leeds United vs Norwich City predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Norwich has a strong offensive trend (Over 2.5 at 60% in 10 matches) and Leeds shows defensive weaknesses (clean sheet only 10%). Both teams score often (Leeds 60%, Norwich 40%). With Norwich's offensive form and Leeds' favorite status at home, an open match with several goals is likely.

1.59

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Leeds has scored at least one goal in 70% of its recent matches (parou05) and Norwich in 90%. Defenses are unreliable: Leeds kept only one clean sheet in 10, Norwich 5 in 10. Norwich's offensive form (8 wins in 10) and Leeds' need to score at home make it likely each team finds the net.

1.66

Confidence

High

Norwich City to win

Norwich displays exceptional form with 8 wins in 10 matches, compared to only 3 for Leeds. Although Leeds is favored at home, their form is irregular (30% wins). Norwich has shown a great ability to win as an outsider (4 wins in 5). The odds value (6.35) is attractive for superior recent performance.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Leeds United vs Norwich City

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Leeds United vs Norwich City Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Leeds United	Norwich City
Win	3 4 3	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	67%
Win by being a favorite	60%	80%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	60%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	80%
Win by being an outsider	0%	80%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	50%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	50% (5/10)	30% (3/10)	Pelle Mattsson
Noah Okafor	38% (3/8)	43% (3/7)	Mohamed Toure
Wilfried Gnonto	10% (1/10)	22% (2/9)	Kenny McLean
James Justin	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Liam Gibbs
Pascal Struijk	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Ali Ahmed
Ao Tanaka	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Jose Cordoba
Anton Stach	17% (1/6)	25% (1/4)	Oscar Schwartau
Brenden Aaronson	10% (1/10)
Sean Longstaff	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Mohamed Toure
Noah Okafor	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Pelle Mattsson
Pascal Struijk	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Kenny McLean
Ao Tanaka	⚽1	⚽1	Oscar Schwartau
Wilfried Gnonto	⚽1	⚽1	Liam Gibbs
James Justin	⚽1	⚽1	Ali Ahmed
Anton Stach	⚽1	⚽1	Jose Cordoba
Brenden Aaronson	⚽1
Sean Longstaff	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	90%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	60%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	80%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	30%	50%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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