Leeds United - Norwich City: our prediction
08/03/2026•17:30
Leeds United
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Norwich City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Leeds United vs Norwich City Preview — FA Cup
Leeds United hosts Norwich City in the FA Cup. Leeds is the favorite with odds of 1.44, but their recent form is mixed (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 matches). Norwich, away, shows excellent form with 8 wins in 10. Statistics indicate both teams score often (Leeds 60%, Norwich 40%) and matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (Norwich 60%).
Our Leeds United vs Norwich City predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Norwich has a strong offensive trend (Over 2.5 at 60% in 10 matches) and Leeds shows defensive weaknesses (clean sheet only 10%). Both teams score often (Leeds 60%, Norwich 40%). With Norwich's offensive form and Leeds' favorite status at home, an open match with several goals is likely.
1.59
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Leeds has scored at least one goal in 70% of its recent matches (parou05) and Norwich in 90%. Defenses are unreliable: Leeds kept only one clean sheet in 10, Norwich 5 in 10. Norwich's offensive form (8 wins in 10) and Leeds' need to score at home make it likely each team finds the net.
1.66
Confidence
High
Norwich City to win
Norwich displays exceptional form with 8 wins in 10 matches, compared to only 3 for Leeds. Although Leeds is favored at home, their form is irregular (30% wins). Norwich has shown a great ability to win as an outsider (4 wins in 5). The odds value (6.35) is attractive for superior recent performance.
5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Leeds United vs Norwich City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Leeds United vs Norwich City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 80% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 80% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) | Pelle Mattsson |
| Noah Okafor | 38% (3/8) | 43% (3/7) | Mohamed Toure |
| Wilfried Gnonto | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Kenny McLean |
| James Justin | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Liam Gibbs |
| Pascal Struijk | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ali Ahmed |
| Ao Tanaka | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jose Cordoba |
| Anton Stach | 17% (1/6) | 25% (1/4) | Oscar Schwartau |
| Brenden Aaronson | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Sean Longstaff | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Mohamed Toure |
| Noah Okafor | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Pelle Mattsson |
| Pascal Struijk | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Kenny McLean |
| Ao Tanaka | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Oscar Schwartau |
| Wilfried Gnonto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Liam Gibbs |
| James Justin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ali Ahmed |
| Anton Stach | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jose Cordoba |
| Brenden Aaronson | ⚽1 | ||
| Sean Longstaff | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 30% | 50% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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