Al Ahly SC - Esperance: our prediction
21/03/2026•20:00
Al Ahly SC
2:3
(1:0)
Finished
Esperance
-
1
-
X
-
2
Al Ahly SC vs Esperance Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage
Al Ahly SC hosts Espérance in the CAF Champions League final. Al Ahly is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.25, but their win rate over the last 10 matches is only 40%. Espérance shows stronger form with 70% wins over the same period. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our Al Ahly SC vs Esperance predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, 80% of Al Ahly's matches ended with under 2.5 goals, and 70% for Espérance. Both teams are defensively solid (Al Ahly: 5 clean sheets, Espérance: 7). The pressure of a final and the low goals per team rate (Al Ahly: 2 matches with +1.5 goals, Espérance: 4) reinforce this scenario.
1.6
Confidence
Very high
Al Ahly scores under 1.5 goals
Al Ahly scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Facing Espérance's defense (7 clean sheets in 10), and despite home advantage, their attack (only 2 matches with +1.5 goals) might struggle to be decisive in a tight final.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Draw
Al Ahly drew 40% of their last 10 matches, Espérance 20%. Espérance's recent form (70% wins) is superior, but Al Ahly plays at home and is used to big occasions. The defensive statistics of both teams and the low goal rate suggest a balanced match that could end in a draw, especially as the odds for an Al Ahly win seem to underestimate the difficulties.
3.57
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Al Ahly SC vs Esperance
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Al Ahly SC vs Esperance Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 20% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Trezeguet | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Florian Danho |
| Achraf Bencharki | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Kouceila Boualia |
| Hussein El Shahat | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Hamza Rafia |
| Hady Reyad | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hamza Jelassi |
| Yasser Ibrahim | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mohamed Tougai |
| Zizo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yassine Meriah |
| Emam Ashour | ⚽1 | ||
| Taher Mohamed | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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