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Ayr United - Inverness CT: our prediction

24/02/2026•20:30

Ayr United

1:2

(1:1)

Finished

Inverness CT

Ayr United vs Inverness CT Preview — Challenge Cup Final Stage

Ayr United hosts Inverness CT in the Challenge Cup. Inverness is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.38) and shows solid form with 5 wins and 5 draws in their last 10 matches, undefeated. Ayr, at home, has a mixed record (3W, 4D, 3L) and a leaky defense. The match could be tight, with a tendency for goals from both sides.

Our Ayr United vs Inverness CT predictions

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, Ayr United has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10). Inverness CT, although more solid defensively (6 clean sheets), has conceded at least one goal in 4 of its last 10 matches. Ayr's home defense is fragile (only 1 clean sheet in 10). With in-form attackers like Anton Dowds (Ayr) and Alfie Bavidge (Inverness), goals are likely from both sides.

1.62

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet. For Ayr United, 60% of their matches ended with under 2.5 goals (6/10). For Inverness CT, this rate is also 60% (6/10). Inverness has a solid defense (6 clean sheets) and Ayr, although leaky, has not often been involved in very high-scoring matches recently. Inverness's tendency for draws and tight matches reinforces this scenario.

1.95

Confidence

Medium

Draw

Inverness CT is undefeated in their last 10 matches (5W, 5D, 0L), showing great solidity. Ayr United has drawn 40% of their recent home matches (4/10). Inverness's recent form (no defeat) and Ayr's ability to get draws at home suggest a balanced scenario. The odds reflect this uncertainty (draw odds at 3.3). No information on major absences was found to disrupt this balance.

3.22

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ayr United vs Inverness CT

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ayr United vs Inverness CT Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Ayr United	Inverness CT
Win	3 4 3	5 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	0%
Win by being a favorite	40%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	40%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	0%
Win by being an outsider	20%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	40% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jamie Murphy	33% (2/6)	43% (3/7)	Chanka Zimba
Anton Dowds	25% (2/8)	29% (2/7)	Billy McKay
Ben Dempsey	11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)	Alfie Stewart
Leon King	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Daniel Devine
		11% (1/9)	Calum MacLeod
		13% (1/8)	Ross Millen
		11% (1/9)	Jordan Alonge

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jamie Murphy	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Chanka Zimba
Anton Dowds	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Alfie Stewart
Ben Dempsey	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Billy McKay
Leon King	⚽1	⚽1	Jordan Alonge
		⚽1	Daniel Devine
		⚽1	Ross Millen
		⚽1	Calum MacLeod

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	33%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	50%
1.5	40%	30%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	10%	0%

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