Ayr United - Inverness CT: our prediction
24/02/2026•20:30
Ayr United
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Inverness CT
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ayr United vs Inverness CT Preview — Challenge Cup Final Stage
Ayr United hosts Inverness CT in the Challenge Cup. Inverness is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.38) and shows solid form with 5 wins and 5 draws in their last 10 matches, undefeated. Ayr, at home, has a mixed record (3W, 4D, 3L) and a leaky defense. The match could be tight, with a tendency for goals from both sides.
Our Ayr United vs Inverness CT predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Ayr United has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10). Inverness CT, although more solid defensively (6 clean sheets), has conceded at least one goal in 4 of its last 10 matches. Ayr's home defense is fragile (only 1 clean sheet in 10). With in-form attackers like Anton Dowds (Ayr) and Alfie Bavidge (Inverness), goals are likely from both sides.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet. For Ayr United, 60% of their matches ended with under 2.5 goals (6/10). For Inverness CT, this rate is also 60% (6/10). Inverness has a solid defense (6 clean sheets) and Ayr, although leaky, has not often been involved in very high-scoring matches recently. Inverness's tendency for draws and tight matches reinforces this scenario.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Inverness CT is undefeated in their last 10 matches (5W, 5D, 0L), showing great solidity. Ayr United has drawn 40% of their recent home matches (4/10). Inverness's recent form (no defeat) and Ayr's ability to get draws at home suggest a balanced scenario. The odds reflect this uncertainty (draw odds at 3.3). No information on major absences was found to disrupt this balance.
3.22
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Ayr United vs Inverness CT
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ayr United vs Inverness CT Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 5 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 40% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Murphy | 33% (2/6) | 43% (3/7) | Chanka Zimba |
| Anton Dowds | 25% (2/8) | 29% (2/7) | Billy McKay |
| Ben Dempsey | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Alfie Stewart |
| Leon King | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Daniel Devine |
11% (1/9) | Calum MacLeod | ||
13% (1/8) | Ross Millen | ||
11% (1/9) | Jordan Alonge |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Murphy | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Chanka Zimba |
| Anton Dowds | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alfie Stewart |
| Ben Dempsey | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Billy McKay |
| Leon King | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jordan Alonge |
⚽1 | Daniel Devine | ||
⚽1 | Ross Millen | ||
⚽1 | Calum MacLeod |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 33% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 50% |
1.5 | 40% | 30% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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