Rugby

Tennis

VfB Stuttgart - Freiburg: our prediction

23/04/2026•20:45

VfB Stuttgart

2:1

(0:1)

Finished AET

ap. 1 - 1

Freiburg

VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Preview — DFB Pokal

VfB Stuttgart hosts Freiburg in the DFB Pokal. Stuttgart is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.6, but shows mixed form with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. Freiburg, away from home, has won 6 of its last 10 games. Statistics suggest an open match with likely goals from both sides.

Our VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg predictions

Both teams to score

Stuttgart has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches ('parou05' indicator at 70%) but kept a clean sheet only 3 times ('cleansheet' 30%). Freiburg has scored in 8 of its last 10 ('parou05' 80%) and kept a clean sheet only 2 times ('cleansheet' 20%). Both teams have performing attacks and permeable defenses. The 'bts' indicator shows 40% success for Stuttgart and 60% for Freiburg over the last 10, but recent scoring and defensive trends strongly support this scenario.

1.56

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

The 'over25' indicator is positive at 60% for Stuttgart and 70% for Freiburg over the last 10 matches. Stuttgart has seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10, Freiburg in 7. Both teams have attacks capable of scoring (Undav 5 goals for Stuttgart, several players with 3 goals for Freiburg). With defenses that regularly concede (Stuttgart: 7 matches with at least one goal conceded out of 10; Freiburg: 8), a match with over 2 total goals is very likely.

1.53

Confidence

High

Freiburg scores over 1.5 goals

Freiburg has scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches ('parou15' indicator at 70%). The attack is diversified with Suzuki, Matanovic, Grifo, and Ginter each scoring 3 goals in the period. Facing a Stuttgart defense that has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 and more than one goal in several cases, Freiburg has the means to score at least twice. Confidence is medium because Stuttgart is at home and favored, but Freiburg's offensive form is convincing.

2.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	VfB Stuttgart	Freiburg
Win	4 1 5	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	50%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	60%
Win by being an outsider	0%	60%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ermedin Demirovic	40% (4/10)	30% (3/10)	Igor Matanovic
Chris Fuehrich	30% (3/10)	22% (2/9)	Johan Manzambi
Deniz Undav	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Maximilian Eggestein
Tiago Tomas	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Matthias Ginter
Nikolas Nartey	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Derry Scherhant
Chema Andres	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Philipp Lienhart
Maximilian Mittelstaedt	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Lukas Kuebler
Bilal El Khannouss	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Jan-Niklas Beste
Angelo Stiller	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Vincenzo Grifo
		20% (1/5)	Yuito Suzuki

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ermedin Demirovic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Igor Matanovic
Deniz Undav	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Yuito Suzuki
Chris Fuehrich	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Maximilian Eggestein
Tiago Tomas	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Johan Manzambi
Maximilian Mittelstaedt	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Lukas Kuebler
Chema Andres	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Philipp Lienhart
Nikolas Nartey	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Derry Scherhant
Bilal El Khannouss	⚽1	⚽1	Jan-Niklas Beste
Angelo Stiller	⚽1	⚽1	Matthias Ginter
		⚽1	Vincenzo Grifo

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	70%
Over corners 8.5	70%	50%
Over corners 9.5	70%	30%
Over corners 10.5	50%	20%
Over corners 11.5	30%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	60%
Over corners 4.5	80%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	20%
Over corners 6.5	40%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	20%	40%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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