Tolima - O'Higgins: our prediction
12/03/2026•01:30
Tolima
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
O'Higgins
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tolima vs O'Higgins Preview — Copa Libertadores Qualification
Tolima hosts O'Higgins in the Copa Libertadores qualification. Tolima, the bookmakers' favorite, shows mixed form with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches. O'Higgins, away from home, has won 6 of their last 10 games. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Tolima vs O'Higgins predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Tolima has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (7/10). O'Higgins has also recorded under 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches (6/10). Both teams have low-scoring attacks (Tolima: 30% success rate Over 1.5 goals/team; O'Higgins: 20%). Tolima's home defense and the tight nature of qualification matches support this scenario.
1.75
Confidence
High
Tolima - Under 1.5 goals
Tolima has scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (7/10). Their attack is inefficient, with only a 30% success rate for Over 1.5 goals/team. Facing an O'Higgins defense that has conceded under 1.5 goals in 80% of matches (8/10 for Under 1.5 goals/opponent team), it is likely Tolima scores at most one goal. This bet is consistent with a narrow Tolima win (e.g., 1-0) and an Under 2.5 goals match.
1.62
Confidence
High
Tolima to win
Tolima is clearly favored (odds 1.62) and plays at home. However, their recent form is mixed (3 wins/10). O'Higgins has good overall form (6 wins/10) but is less effective away (2 wins/10 as an outsider). Tolima has won 50% of their matches as favorites (3/6). Home advantage and favorite status justify this pick, despite the opponent's solid form.
1.46
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Tolima vs O'Higgins
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tolima vs O'Higgins Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Sandoval | 100% (3/3) | 30% (3/10) | Arnaldo Castillo |
| Jersson Gonzalez | 75% (3/4) | 30% (3/10) | Thiago Vecino |
| Juan Pablo Torres | 25% (1/4) | 30% (3/10) | Francisco Gonzalez |
| Jherson Mosquera | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Bastian Yanez |
| Adrian Parra | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Alan Robledo |
| Ever Valencia | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Martin Sarrafiore |
| Sebastian Guzman | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Sandoval | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Thiago Vecino |
| Jersson Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Arnaldo Castillo |
| Sebastian Guzman | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Francisco Gonzalez |
| Adrian Parra | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bastian Yanez |
| Ever Valencia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Martin Sarrafiore |
| Juan Pablo Torres | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alan Robledo |
| Jherson Mosquera | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 60% |
1.5 | 0% | 40% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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