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Manchester City - Real Madrid: our prediction

17/03/2026•21:00

Manchester City

1:2

(1:1)

Finished

Real Madrid

Manchester City vs Real Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Manchester City hosts Real Madrid in the Champions League. City is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.44. In their last 10 matches, City has won 7 times, while Real Madrid has won 8. Both teams show strong attacking form, with a tendency for matches over 2.5 goals. No major absences are reported.

Our Manchester City vs Real Madrid predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Manchester City has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches, and Real Madrid in 7 as well. Both teams have quality attacks (Haaland, Vinicius Jr., Mbappé) and defenses that can concede. The match should be open with goal-scoring opportunities.

1.38

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Both Manchester City and Real Madrid have scored in 6 of their last 10 matches. With attackers like Haaland, Vinicius Jr., and Mbappé, it is likely each team will find the back of the net. The defenses are not impenetrable, especially in the Champions League final stages.

1.59

Confidence

High

Manchester City to win

Manchester City is favored at home with a low odds of 1.44. In the last 10 matches, City has won 7 times, showing good form. However, Real Madrid is an experienced European team and has won 8 of its last 10 matches. City's win is likely, but not certain.

1.43

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Manchester City vs Real Madrid

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Manchester City vs Real Madrid Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Manchester City	Real Madrid
Win	7 2 1	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	100%
Win by being a favorite	67%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	100%
Win by being an outsider	100%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	60% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	50%
2nd half	20%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Erling Haaland	56% (5/9)	44% (4/9)	Vinicius Junior
Jeremy Doku	40% (4/10)	50% (4/8)	Kylian Mbappe
Antoine Semenyo	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Gonzalo Garcia
Omar Marmoush	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Jude Bellingham
Marc Guehi	11% (1/9)	20% (1/5)	Arda Guler
Nico Gonzalez	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Brahim Diaz
Rayan Cherki	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Federico Valverde
Savinho	10% (1/10)
Nico O'Reilly	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jeremy Doku	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Vinicius Junior
Erling Haaland	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kylian Mbappe
Antoine Semenyo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Gonzalo Garcia
Omar Marmoush	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Arda Guler
Rayan Cherki	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jude Bellingham
Savinho	⚽1	⚽1	Federico Valverde
Marc Guehi	⚽1	⚽1	Brahim Diaz
Nico Gonzalez	⚽1
Nico O'Reilly	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	100%
Over corners 7.5	90%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	90%
Over corners 9.5	50%	70%
Over corners 10.5	40%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	20%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	90%	90%
Over corners 4.5	70%	70%
Over corners 5.5	50%	60%
Over corners 6.5	40%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	70%	60%
2.5	40%	20%
3.5	20%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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