Manchester City - Real Madrid: our prediction
17/03/2026•21:00
Manchester City
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Manchester City vs Real Madrid Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Manchester City hosts Real Madrid in the Champions League. City is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.44. In their last 10 matches, City has won 7 times, while Real Madrid has won 8. Both teams show strong attacking form, with a tendency for matches over 2.5 goals. No major absences are reported.
Our Manchester City vs Real Madrid predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Manchester City has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches, and Real Madrid in 7 as well. Both teams have quality attacks (Haaland, Vinicius Jr., Mbappé) and defenses that can concede. The match should be open with goal-scoring opportunities.
1.38
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Both Manchester City and Real Madrid have scored in 6 of their last 10 matches. With attackers like Haaland, Vinicius Jr., and Mbappé, it is likely each team will find the back of the net. The defenses are not impenetrable, especially in the Champions League final stages.
1.59
Confidence
High
Manchester City to win
Manchester City is favored at home with a low odds of 1.44. In the last 10 matches, City has won 7 times, showing good form. However, Real Madrid is an experienced European team and has won 8 of its last 10 matches. City's win is likely, but not certain.
1.43
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Manchester City vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Manchester City vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 2 1 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 78% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 50% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 56% (5/9) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Jeremy Doku | 40% (4/10) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Antoine Semenyo | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Omar Marmoush | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Marc Guehi | 11% (1/9) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
| Nico Gonzalez | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
| Rayan Cherki | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
| Savinho | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Nico O'Reilly | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Doku | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Erling Haaland | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Antoine Semenyo | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Omar Marmoush | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Rayan Cherki | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Savinho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
| Marc Guehi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ||
| Nico O'Reilly | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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