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Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen: our prediction

17/03/2026•21:00

Arsenal

2:0

(1:0)

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Arsenal hosts Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League final. Arsenal is the heavy favorite with odds at 1.27, showing solid form (7 wins in last 10 matches) and a prolific attack. Leverkusen, struggling away, will have to withstand the London assault.

Our Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen predictions

Arsenal Victory

Arsenal is the clear favorite (odds 1.27). In the last 10 matches, they have won 7 times, undefeated, and have not lost when favored (10/10). At home, with an attack that scores at least 1 goal in 100% of cases (parou05) and a defense that kept 4 clean sheets, they should control the match against a Leverkusen that has won only 1 out of 10 away games.

1.29

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches lean towards a match under 3 goals. Arsenal had under 2.5 goals in 4/10 matches, Leverkusen in 8/10. Arsenal, as the favorite, could manage the game and settle for a narrow win. Leverkusen, not prolific away (under 1.5 goals scored in 7/10 matches - underparou15), might struggle to score.

2.28

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arsenal	Bayer Leverkusen
Win	7 3	4 5 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	25%
Win by being a favorite	70%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	70%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	30% (3/10)	50% (5/10)	Patrik Schick
Kai Havertz	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Malik Tillman
Bukayo Saka	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Aleix Garcia
Noni Madueke	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ibrahim Maza
Leandro Trossard	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Alejandro Grimaldo
Gabriel Jesus	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Nathan Tella
Eberechi Eze	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Robert Andrich
		13% (1/8)	Jarell Quansah
		11% (1/9)	Edmond Tapsoba

Total goals per player

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	Patrik Schick
Bukayo Saka	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Malik Tillman
Kai Havertz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Alejandro Grimaldo
Noni Madueke	⚽1	⚽1	Ibrahim Maza
Eberechi Eze	⚽1	⚽1	Robert Andrich
Leandro Trossard	⚽1	⚽1	Aleix Garcia
Gabriel Jesus	⚽1	⚽1	Edmond Tapsoba
		⚽1	Nathan Tella
		⚽1	Jarell Quansah

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	60%
Over corners 7.5	40%	50%
Over corners 8.5	40%	40%
Over corners 9.5	40%	10%
Over corners 10.5	30%	10%
Over corners 11.5	20%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	70%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	40%
Over corners 5.5	20%	30%
Over corners 6.5	20%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	70%
1.5	40%	60%
2.5	10%	40%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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