Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen: our prediction
17/03/2026•21:00
Arsenal
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
-
1
-
X
-
2
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Arsenal hosts Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League final. Arsenal is the heavy favorite with odds at 1.27, showing solid form (7 wins in last 10 matches) and a prolific attack. Leverkusen, struggling away, will have to withstand the London assault.
Our Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen predictions
Arsenal Victory
Arsenal is the clear favorite (odds 1.27). In the last 10 matches, they have won 7 times, undefeated, and have not lost when favored (10/10). At home, with an attack that scores at least 1 goal in 100% of cases (parou05) and a defense that kept 4 clean sheets, they should control the match against a Leverkusen that has won only 1 out of 10 away games.
1.29
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches lean towards a match under 3 goals. Arsenal had under 2.5 goals in 4/10 matches, Leverkusen in 8/10. Arsenal, as the favorite, could manage the game and settle for a narrow win. Leverkusen, not prolific away (under 1.5 goals scored in 7/10 matches - underparou15), might struggle to score.
2.28
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 3 | 4 5 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 70% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) | Patrik Schick |
| Kai Havertz | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Malik Tillman |
| Bukayo Saka | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Aleix Garcia |
| Noni Madueke | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ibrahim Maza |
| Leandro Trossard | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Alejandro Grimaldo |
| Gabriel Jesus | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Nathan Tella |
| Eberechi Eze | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Robert Andrich |
13% (1/8) | Jarell Quansah | ||
11% (1/9) | Edmond Tapsoba |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Patrik Schick |
| Bukayo Saka | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Malik Tillman |
| Kai Havertz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alejandro Grimaldo |
| Noni Madueke | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ibrahim Maza |
| Eberechi Eze | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Robert Andrich |
| Leandro Trossard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aleix Garcia |
| Gabriel Jesus | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Edmond Tapsoba |
⚽1 | Nathan Tella | ||
⚽1 | Jarell Quansah |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 70% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 10% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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