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Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain: our prediction

14/04/2026•21:00

Liverpool

0:2

(0:0)

Finished

Paris Saint-Germain

Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Liverpool hosts Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League final. Liverpool is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.40) despite recent mixed form (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in the last 10 matches). PSG shows excellent momentum with 8 wins in 10. The offensive statistics of both teams suggest an open match with goals.

Our Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions

Paris Saint-Germain scores at least 1 goal

PSG has scored at least one goal in its last 10 matches (100% success rate on the 'parou05' indicator). The Parisian attack is prolific with Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, and Doue (5 goals each in the period). Facing a Liverpool defense that kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10, the Parisians have a very high probability of scoring.

1.17

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Liverpool has seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). PSG is even more offensive with 8 matches out of 10 exceeding this limit (80%). Both teams have quality attacks (Salah, Barcola, Kvaratskhelia) and defenses that regularly concede. The final context and the desire to win should push for offensive play.

1.4

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 10 matches each (50%). Liverpool has a leaky defense (only 2 clean sheets in 10). PSG, very offensive, has scored in all its recent matches (10/10 over 0.5 goals per team). Liverpool at home and PSG with its in-form attackers should find the back of the net.

1.4

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Liverpool	Paris Saint-Germain
Win	4 1 5	8 1 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	60%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	50%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	100%
Win by being an outsider	0%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	50%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Virgil van Dijk	20% (2/10)	40% (4/10)	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Mohamed Salah	25% (2/8)	30% (3/10)	Ousmane Dembele
Rio Ngumoha	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Desire Doue
Alexander Isak	13% (1/8)	22% (2/9)	Ibrahim Mbaye
Ryan Gravenberch	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Kang-In Lee
Andrew Robertson	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Bradley Barcola
Dominik Szoboszlai	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Senny Mayulu
Curtis Jones	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Warren Zaire-Emery
Florian Wirtz	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Lucas Beraldo
Cody Gakpo	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Joao Neves

Total goals per player

	1	2
Virgil van Dijk	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Mohamed Salah	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ousmane Dembele
Dominik Szoboszlai	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Desire Doue
Curtis Jones	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ibrahim Mbaye
Alexander Isak	⚽1	⚽1	Bradley Barcola
Ryan Gravenberch	⚽1	⚽1	Senny Mayulu
Florian Wirtz	⚽1	⚽1	Warren Zaire-Emery
Cody Gakpo	⚽1	⚽1	Kang-In Lee
Rio Ngumoha	⚽1	⚽1	Lucas Beraldo
Andrew Robertson	⚽1	⚽1	Joao Neves

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	60%
Over corners 7.5	70%	40%
Over corners 8.5	60%	40%
Over corners 9.5	60%	30%
Over corners 10.5	60%	20%
Over corners 11.5	40%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	40%
1.5	50%	0%
2.5	30%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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