Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain: our prediction
14/04/2026•21:00
Liverpool
0:2
(0:0)
Finished
Paris Saint-Germain
-
1
-
X
-
2
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Preview — Champions League Final Stage
Liverpool hosts Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League final. Liverpool is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.40) despite recent mixed form (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in the last 10 matches). PSG shows excellent momentum with 8 wins in 10. The offensive statistics of both teams suggest an open match with goals.
Our Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions
Paris Saint-Germain scores at least 1 goal
PSG has scored at least one goal in its last 10 matches (100% success rate on the 'parou05' indicator). The Parisian attack is prolific with Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, and Doue (5 goals each in the period). Facing a Liverpool defense that kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10, the Parisians have a very high probability of scoring.
1.17
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Liverpool has seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). PSG is even more offensive with 8 matches out of 10 exceeding this limit (80%). Both teams have quality attacks (Salah, Barcola, Kvaratskhelia) and defenses that regularly concede. The final context and the desire to win should push for offensive play.
1.4
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 10 matches each (50%). Liverpool has a leaky defense (only 2 clean sheets in 10). PSG, very offensive, has scored in all its recent matches (10/10 over 0.5 goals per team). Liverpool at home and PSG with its in-form attackers should find the back of the net.
1.4
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 60% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Virgil van Dijk | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
| Mohamed Salah | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Ousmane Dembele |
| Rio Ngumoha | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Desire Doue |
| Alexander Isak | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Ibrahim Mbaye |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Kang-In Lee |
| Andrew Robertson | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Bradley Barcola |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Senny Mayulu |
| Curtis Jones | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Warren Zaire-Emery |
| Florian Wirtz | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Lucas Beraldo |
| Cody Gakpo | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joao Neves |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Virgil van Dijk | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
| Mohamed Salah | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Ousmane Dembele |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Desire Doue |
| Curtis Jones | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ibrahim Mbaye |
| Alexander Isak | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bradley Barcola |
| Ryan Gravenberch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Senny Mayulu |
| Florian Wirtz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Warren Zaire-Emery |
| Cody Gakpo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kang-In Lee |
| Rio Ngumoha | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Beraldo |
| Andrew Robertson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joao Neves |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 40% |
1.5 | 50% | 0% |
2.5 | 30% | 0% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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