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Real Madrid - Bayern Munich: our prediction

07/04/2026•21:00

Real Madrid

1:2

(0:1)

Finished

Bayern Munich

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Bayern Munich, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Real Madrid. Both teams are in excellent offensive form, with high goal-scoring statistics and a marked tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals.

Our Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Real Madrid recorded over 2.5 goals in 80% of its matches (8/10), while Bayern Munich did the same in 80% of its matches (8/10). Both teams have prolific attacks: Vinicius Junior (7 goals) and Valverde (6) for Real; Harry Kane (10 goals) and Luis Diaz (4) for Bayern. Defenses struggle to keep a clean sheet (only 20% clean sheets for Real, 30% for Bayern).

1.31

Confidence

Very high

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, Real Madrid saw both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10), and Bayern Munich also in 70% of cases (7/10). Defenses are vulnerable: Real kept only 2 clean sheets, Bayern 3. With in-form attackers like Kane (10 goals) and Vinicius (7 goals), it is likely that each team will find the back of the net.

1.3

Confidence

High

Bayern Munich scores over 1.5 goals

Bayern Munich has scored over 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). The attack is led by Harry Kane (10 goals), supported by Luis Diaz (4 goals) and Michael Olise (3 goals). Facing a Real Madrid defense that kept only 20% clean sheets, Bayern has every chance to score at least two goals.

1.6

Confidence

High

Market signals on Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Real Madrid	Bayern Munich
Win	7 3	9 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	0%
Win by being a favorite	63%	90%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	70% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	10%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Vinicius Junior	44% (4/9)	80% (8/10)	Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe	50% (4/8)	50% (5/10)	Michael Olise
Gonzalo Garcia	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Luis Diaz
Jude Bellingham	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Nicolas Jackson
Brahim Diaz	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Alphonso Davies
Arda Guler	20% (1/5)	13% (1/8)	Raphael Guerreiro
Federico Valverde	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Leon Goretzka
		10% (1/10)	Aleksandar Pavlovic
		20% (1/5)	Tom Bischof
		11% (1/9)	Dayot Upamecano
		10% (1/10)	Jamal Musiala

Total goals per player

	1	2
Vinicius Junior	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽...12	Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Michael Olise
Jude Bellingham	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Luis Diaz
Gonzalo Garcia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Nicolas Jackson
Arda Guler	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Leon Goretzka
Federico Valverde	⚽1	⚽1	Aleksandar Pavlovic
Brahim Diaz	⚽1	⚽1	Jamal Musiala
		⚽1	Tom Bischof
		⚽1	Alphonso Davies
		⚽1	Raphael Guerreiro
		⚽1	Dayot Upamecano

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	60%	40%
Over corners 10.5	40%	20%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	90%	80%
Over corners 4.5	60%	60%
Over corners 5.5	50%	60%
Over corners 6.5	20%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	70%
1.5	70%	40%
2.5	20%	40%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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